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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MacaoMacao Unemployment Rate climbed to 1.8% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Macao Unemployment Rate climbed to 1.8% in April 2026, released May 2026, up 0.2% from March's 1.6% reading. The print came in hotter than the 1.6% consensus, a hotter print than forecasters anticipated. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 1.69%. The reading is in the 57th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
1.8
Actual
1.6
Consensus
1.6
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.17 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 1.55
Actual: 1.8
Error: -0.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.60 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.27 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Unemployment Rate (Macao) was reported at 1.8% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 1.6% by 0.2%. The reading rose from the previous value of 1.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 1.69%, ranging from 0.25% to 2% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 1.73%, down from the prior three at 1.77%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.47%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.1%). In May readings over the past 3 years, Unemployment Rate has averaged 1.87%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.18%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for June 30, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Unemployment Rate - MO
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About Unemployment Rate — Macao
DEFINITION
The Unemployment Rate is a key economic indicator that measures the percentage of the total labor force that is currently without a job and actively seeking employment. It is used to assess the health of the job market and the overall state of the economy. A high unemployment rate can indicate a weak economy, while a low unemployment rate can suggest a strong and growing economy. This data is closely monitored by policymakers, businesses, and investors to make informed decisions and projections.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1.8 %, consensus 1.6 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 2.1 %. Before that (Mar 2026): 1.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP, r=0.60) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.