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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MWMW CPI fell to 24.1% in February 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased March 2026
MW CPI fell to 24.1% in February 2026, released March 2026, down 0.8% from January's 24.9% reading.
Latest Release
24.100000
Actual
—
Consensus
24.900000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.39 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI (Malawi) was reported at 24.1% in March 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 24.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 27.1%, ranging from 24.1% to 29.1% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 25%, down from the prior three at 28.57%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with BTC/USD (Bearish BTC).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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CPI - MW
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About CPI — MW
DEFINITION
CPI, or Consumer Price Index, is a widely used economic indicator that measures the average change in prices of goods and services purchased by households. It is an important tool for assessing inflation and the overall cost of living for consumers. The CPI is calculated by tracking the prices of a basket of goods and services over time, providing valuable insights into the current state of the economy and its impact on consumers. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, businesses, and investors to make informed decisions about economic trends and financial strategies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Feb 2026): actual 24.1 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 24.9 %. Before that (Nov 2025): 26 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.