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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
MWMW CPI YoY fell to 20.8% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
MW CPI YoY fell to 20.8% in July 2026, released August 2026, down 0.3% from June's 21.1% reading.
Latest Release
20.800000
Actual
—
Consensus
21.100000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI YoY (Malawi) was reported at 20.8% in August 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 21.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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CPI YoY - MW
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About CPI YoY — MW
DEFINITION
Malawi's CPI YoY for August came in at 20.800000%, down from July's 21.100000%, marking a continued deceleration in inflation. This decline from July to August signals easing price pressures after several months above 23%. Market participants will watch upcoming data for confirmation of this downward trend amid stable monetary policy. Updated 8/21/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 20.8 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 21.1 %. Before that (May 2026): 23.4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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