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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SlovakiaSlovakia CPI YoY fell to 3.2% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Slovakia CPI YoY fell to 3.2% in July 2026, released August 2026, down 0.3% from June's 3.5% reading. The print came in hotter than the 3.0% consensus, a hotter print than forecasters anticipated. CPI YoY has now declined for 4 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, CPI YoY averaged 3.28%, vs 3.54% in the prior 3-month window.
Latest Release
3.2
Actual
3
Consensus
3.5
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.07 percentage points
across last 7 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 3.07
Actual: 3.2
Error: -0.13
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.80 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.27 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI YoY (Slovakia) was reported at 3.2% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 3% by 0.2%. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.35%, ranging from 2.3% to 4.1% across 8 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 3.33%, down from the prior three at 3.47%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Bearish USD). Over the last 7 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.07%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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CPI YoY - SK
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About CPI YoY — Slovakia
DEFINITION
South Korea's CPI YoY came in at 3.200% for July, missing the 3.000% estimate but down from June's 3.500%. The inflation rate shows a deceleration, indicating easing price pressures compared to the previous month. Market focus remains on upcoming central bank decisions amid this cooling inflation trend. Updated 8/19/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 3.2 %, consensus 3 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): 3.3 %. Before that (Jun 2026): 3.5 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.80) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - SK Events
| Thursday, September 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | SK | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.10 | Low |
| 07:00 | SK | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0 | 0.1 | 0 | 0.00 | Low |
| Friday, September 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | SK | Current Account | -226.5 | -320 | -248.50 | Low | |
| 10:00 | SK | Unemployment Rate | 5.3 | 5.3 | 5.25 | Low | |