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United Kingdom Average Earnings excl. Bonus
Latest Release
3.800000
Actual
4.000000
Consensus
4.100000
Previous
Average Earnings excl. Bonus (United Kingdom) was reported at 3.80% in March 2026. This missed the market consensus of 4% by 0.20%. The reading fell from the previous value of 4.10%. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 4.83%, ranging from 3.80% to 5.90% across 12 releases. The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP).
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Average Earnings excl. Bonus - UK
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Economic Calendar - UK Events
| Friday, April 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | UK | New Car Sales YoY | - | 7.2 | 1.5 | 3.80 | Low |
| Thursday, April 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | UK | CPI | 3.500000 | 3.000000 | - | - | high |
| Wednesday, April 1, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 51 | 51.7 | 51.4 | 51.48 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 51.000000 | 51.700000 | 51.400000 | 51.48 | low |
| Tuesday, March 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | UK | Current Account | -18.4 | -10.7 | -23.4 | -20.90 | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.08 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1 | 1.3 | 1 | 0.97 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Business Investment QoQ | -2.5 | 1.1 | -2.7 | -3.17 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Business Investment YoY | 2 | 3.5 | 2 | 1.82 | Low |
| 06:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.08 | High |
| 06:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1 | 1.2 | 1 | 0.98 | High |
| 06:00 | UK | Business Investment | - | 2.5 | 2 | 2.00 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.000000 | 1.200000 | 1.000000 | 0.98 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.100000 | 0.100000 | 0.100000 | 0.08 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Business Investment YoY | 2.000000 | 3.500000 | 2.000000 | 1.82 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Business Investment QoQ | -2.500000 | 1.100000 | -2.700000 | -3.17 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.000000 | 1.300000 | 1.000000 | 0.97 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.100000 | 0.100000 | 0.100000 | 0.08 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Current Account | -18.400000 | -10.700000 | -23.400000 | -20.90 | medium |
| Monday, March 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:30 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 1.935 | 1.828 | 1.6 | 1.81 | Medium |
| 08:30 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | 0.6 | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.28 | Low |
| 08:30 | UK | Mortgage Lending | 4.84 | 4.21 | 4.1 | 4.33 | Medium |
| 08:30 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals MoM | 6.8 | 6 | 5.6 | 6.35 | Low |
| 08:30 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 62.58 | 60.25 | 61.3 | 61.31 | Medium |
| 08:30 | UK | Consumer Credit | - | 1.812 | 1.3 | 1.30 | Medium |
| 08:30 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals | 6.8 | 5.9 | 5.6 | 5.95 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals | 6.800000 | 5.900000 | 5.600000 | 5.95 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | M3 Money Supply | 3228.400000 | 3210.200000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 62.580000 | 60.250000 | 61.300000 | 61.31 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals MoM | 6.800000 | 6.000000 | 5.600000 | 6.35 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Mortgage Lending | 4.840000 | 4.210000 | 4.100000 | 4.33 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | 0.600000 | -0.100000 | 0.100000 | 0.28 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 1.935000 | 1.828000 | 1.600000 | 1.81 | medium |
| Friday, March 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales MoM | -0.4 | 2 | -0.7 | -0.33 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales YoY | 2.5 | 4.8 | 2.1 | 2.53 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM | -0.4 | 2.2 | -0.8 | -0.35 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY | 3.4 | 5.9 | 2.9 | 3.42 | High |
| 00:01 | UK | Consumer Confidence | -21 | -19 | -24 | -23.50 | Medium |
| 00:01 | UK | Car Production YoY | -10.7 | -8.2 | 8 | -0.48 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | -58.400000 | -65.500000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY | 3.400000 | 5.900000 | 2.900000 | 3.42 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM | -0.400000 | 2.200000 | -0.800000 | -0.35 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Sales YoY | 2.500000 | 4.800000 | 2.100000 | 2.53 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Sales MoM | -0.400000 | 2.000000 | -0.700000 | -0.33 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Car Production YoY | -10.700000 | -8.200000 | 8.000000 | -0.48 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Consumer Confidence | -21.000000 | -19.000000 | -24.000000 | -23.50 | medium |
| Thursday, March 26, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | UK | 30-Year Treasury Gilt Auction | 5.520000 | 5.290000 | - | - | low |
| Wednesday, March 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Distributive Trades | - | -43 | -16 | -24.33 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 1.3 | 1.9 | 1.7 | NaN | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Output YoY | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.6 | 2.18 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Output MoM | -0.5 | 0 | 0.2 | -0.05 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Input YoY | 0.5 | -0.4 | 0.4 | 0.25 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Input MoM | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.65 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Core Output MoM | -0.8 | 0.2 | 0.1 | -0.18 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Price Index YoY | 3.6 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 3.65 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Price Index MoM | 0.4 | -0.5 | 0.5 | 0.40 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | -0.6 | 0.5 | 0.53 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | -0.5 | 0.4 | 0.38 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.1 | 3.15 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Inflation Rate YoY | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Core Output YoY | 1.9 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 2.70 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | CPI YoY | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | CPI MoM | 0.4 | -0.5 | 0.4 | 0.40 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 1.300000 | 1.900000 | 1.700000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Core RPI MoM | 0.400000 | -0.500000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Core RPI YoY | 3.500000 | 3.700000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | PPI Core Output YoY | 1.900000 | 2.900000 | 3.200000 | 2.70 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.000000 | 3.000000 | 3.000000 | 3.00 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 3.200000 | 3.100000 | 3.100000 | 3.15 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.400000 | -0.500000 | 0.400000 | 0.38 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.600000 | -0.600000 | 0.500000 | 0.53 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Price Index MoM | 0.400000 | -0.500000 | 0.500000 | 0.40 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Price Index YoY | 3.600000 | 3.800000 | 3.700000 | 3.65 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | PPI Core Output MoM | -0.800000 | 0.200000 | 0.100000 | -0.18 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | PPI Input MoM | 0.800000 | 0.300000 | 0.500000 | 0.65 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | PPI Input YoY | 0.500000 | -0.400000 | 0.400000 | 0.25 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | PPI Output MoM | -0.500000 | 0.000000 | 0.200000 | -0.05 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | PPI Output YoY | 1.700000 | 2.500000 | 2.600000 | 2.18 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | CPI MoM | 0.400000 | -0.500000 | 0.400000 | 0.40 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | CPI YoY | 3.000000 | 3.000000 | 3.000000 | 3.00 | high |
| Tuesday, March 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Distributive Trades | -52 | -43 | -40 | -48.33 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash | - | 51.7 | 51.1 | 51.15 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI Flash | - | 53.9 | 51.8 | 51.95 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI Flash | - | 53.7 | 52 | 52.30 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 51 | 53.7 | 52.9 | 52.23 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 51.4 | 51.7 | 50.1 | 50.18 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 51.2 | 53.9 | 53 | 52.40 | High |
| 00:00 | UK | CBI Distributive Trades | -52.000000 | -43.000000 | -40.000000 | -48.33 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | 10-Year Treasury Gilt Auction | 4.911000 | 4.585000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 51.200000 | 53.900000 | 53.000000 | 52.40 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 51.400000 | 51.700000 | 50.100000 | 50.18 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 51.000000 | 53.700000 | 52.900000 | 52.23 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | New Car Sales MoM | -37.500000 | -1.500000 | - | - | low |
| Friday, March 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | -27 | -28 | -29 | -28.83 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks | -14.3 | 31.9 | -8.5 | -8.53 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | -65.500000 | -84.200000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | -27.000000 | -28.000000 | -29.000000 | -28.83 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks | -14.300000 | 31.900000 | -8.500000 | -8.53 | low |
| Thursday, March 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Cut | 9 | 49 | 29 | 22.67 | Medium |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 99 | 59 | 79 | 85.33 | Medium |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Hike | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9.00 | Medium |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| 12:00 | UK | Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Employment Change | 84 | 52 | -4 | 40.67 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | 24.7 | 4.7 | 25.8 | 26.53 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 3.8 | 4.1 | 4 | 3.90 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 3.9 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 3.87 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 5.2 | 5.2 | 5.3 | 5.28 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | HMRC Payrolls Change | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9.83 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | Interest Rate Decision | 3.750000 | 3.750000 | 3.750000 | 3.75 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | BoE Interest Rate Decision | 3.750000 | 3.750000 | 3.750000 | 3.75 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Hike | 9.000000 | 9.000000 | 9.000000 | 9.00 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 99.000000 | 59.000000 | 79.000000 | 85.33 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Cut | 9.000000 | 49.000000 | 29.000000 | 22.67 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | HMRC Payrolls Change | 20.000000 | 6.000000 | 5.000000 | 9.83 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 5.200000 | 5.200000 | 5.300000 | 5.28 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 3.900000 | 4.200000 | 3.900000 | 3.87 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 3.800000 | 4.100000 | 4.000000 | 3.90 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | 24.700000 | 4.700000 | 25.800000 | 26.53 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Employment Change | 84.000000 | 52.000000 | -4.000000 | 40.67 | high |
| Tuesday, March 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | UK | 5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction | 4.228000 | 3.810000 | - | - | low |
| Monday, March 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index MoM | 0.800000 | 0.000000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index YoY | -0.200000 | 0.000000 | - | - | low |
| Friday, March 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Industrial Production MoM | -0.1 | -0.9 | 0.2 | -0.02 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Industrial Production YoY | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.35 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.3 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 1.32 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.13 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance | -14.45 | -22.72 | -22.2 | -19.57 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.88 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Construction Output YoY | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.1 | -0.05 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP 3-Month Avg | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.25 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.1 | -0.5 | 0.2 | 0.13 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Construction Output MoM | 0.2 | -0.5 | 0 | -0.10 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | NaN | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | - | 0.1 | 0.2 | NaN | Medium |
| 06:00 | UK | Construction Output MoM | - | -0.5 | 0 | -0.10 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | -84.200000 | -72.700000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | 0.300000 | 0.200000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Construction Output MoM | 0.200000 | -0.500000 | 0.000000 | -0.10 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | GDP 3-Month Avg | 0.200000 | 0.100000 | 0.300000 | 0.25 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Construction Output YoY | -0.200000 | -0.300000 | -0.100000 | -0.05 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 0.800000 | 0.700000 | 0.900000 | 0.88 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Balance of Trade | 3.922000 | -4.340000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production MoM | 0.100000 | -0.500000 | 0.200000 | 0.13 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance | -14.450000 | -22.720000 | -22.200000 | -19.57 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 0.000000 | 0.100000 | 0.200000 | 0.13 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance Non-EU | -3.460000 | -10.990000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production YoY | 1.300000 | 0.500000 | 1.500000 | 1.32 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Industrial Production YoY | 0.400000 | 0.500000 | 0.600000 | 0.35 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Industrial Production MoM | -0.100000 | -0.900000 | 0.200000 | -0.02 | medium |
| Thursday, March 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | -12 | -10 | -9 | -9.67 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI | 46.000000 | 49.000000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | -12.000000 | -10.000000 | -9.000000 | -9.67 | medium |
| Tuesday, March 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY | 0.7 | 2.3 | 2.4 | 2.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY | 0.700000 | 2.300000 | 2.400000 | 2.00 | medium |
| Friday, March 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | UK | BBA Mortgage Rate | 6.59 | 6.62 | 6.6 | 6.58 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.1 | NaN | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | House Price Index MoM | 0.3 | 0.8 | -0.1 | NaN | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | -72.700000 | -57.100000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | BBA Mortgage Rate | 6.590000 | 6.620000 | 6.600000 | 6.58 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index MoM | 0.300000 | 0.800000 | -0.100000 | NaN | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 1.300000 | 1.100000 | 1.100000 | NaN | medium |
| Thursday, March 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Construction PMI | 44.5 | 46.4 | 47 | 46.82 | Medium |
| 09:00 | UK | New Car Sales YoY | 7.2 | 3.4 | 1 | 3.30 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | 5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction | 3.810000 | 4.001000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Construction PMI | 44.500000 | 46.400000 | 47.000000 | 46.82 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | CPI | 3.000000 | 2.900000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | New Passenger Car Registrations | 90100.000000 | 144127.000000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | New Car Sales YoY | 7.200000 | 3.400000 | 1.000000 | 3.30 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | New Car Registrations YoY | 7.200000 | 3.400000 | - | - | low |
| Wednesday, March 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.9 | 54 | 53.9 | 53.30 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 53.7 | 53.7 | 53.9 | 53.23 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 53.700000 | 53.700000 | 53.900000 | 53.23 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.900000 | 54.000000 | 53.900000 | 53.30 | low |
| Tuesday, March 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | BRC Shop Price Index YoY | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.43 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | BRC Shop Price Index YoY | 1.100000 | 1.500000 | 1.400000 | 1.43 | low |
| Monday, March 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals MoM | 5.9 | 6.1 | 3.8 | 4.55 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 1.812 | 1.652 | 1.2 | 1.41 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 51.7 | 51.8 | 52 | 52.08 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Lending | 4.08 | 4.49 | 4.2 | 4.43 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | -0.1 | 0.4 | -0.2 | -0.02 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 60 | 61.01 | 62.5 | 62.51 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals | 5.9 | 6.1 | 6.2 | 6.55 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.25 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | 1 | 1 | 1.1 | 0.98 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals | 5.900000 | 6.100000 | 6.200000 | 6.55 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 60.000000 | 61.010000 | 62.500000 | 62.51 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | -0.100000 | 0.400000 | -0.200000 | -0.02 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Mortgage Lending | 4.080000 | 4.490000 | 4.200000 | 4.43 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Money Supply | 3207.700000 | 3212.300000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 51.700000 | 51.800000 | 52.000000 | 52.08 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 1.812000 | 1.652000 | 1.200000 | 1.41 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals MoM | 5.900000 | 6.100000 | 3.800000 | 4.55 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | 1.000000 | 1.000000 | 1.100000 | 0.98 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | 0.300000 | 0.300000 | 0.300000 | 0.25 | medium |
| Friday, February 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | Car Production YoY | -8.2 | 17.7 | 5.3 | -3.18 | Low |
| 00:01 | UK | Consumer Confidence | -19 | -16 | -16 | -15.50 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | -57.100000 | -42.400000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Consumer Confidence | -19.000000 | -16.000000 | -16.000000 | -15.50 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Car Production YoY | -8.200000 | 17.700000 | 5.300000 | -3.18 | low |
| Wednesday, February 25, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Distributive Trades | - | -17 | -30 | -38.33 | Medium |
| Tuesday, February 24, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Distributive Trades | -43 | -17 | -17 | -25.33 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | CBI Distributive Trades | -43.000000 | -17.000000 | -17.000000 | -25.33 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | New Car Registrations YoY | 3.400000 | 3.900000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | New Car Registrations MoM | -1.500000 | -3.200000 | - | - | low |
| Monday, February 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | UK | New Car Registrations YoY | 3.400000 | 3.900000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | New Car Registrations MoM | -1.500000 | -3.200000 | - | - | low |
| Friday, February 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | - | -30 | -25 | -24.83 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI Flash | 53.9 | 54 | 53.6 | 53.75 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI Flash | 53.9 | 53.7 | 53.3 | 53.60 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash | 52 | 51.8 | 51.9 | 51.95 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 53.9 | 53.7 | 53.3 | 52.63 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52 | 51.8 | 51.5 | 51.58 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.9 | 54 | 53.5 | 52.90 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks | 30.4 | -13.4 | 19 | 18.97 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales YoY | 4.5 | 1.9 | 2.7 | 3.13 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM | 2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.55 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales MoM | 1.8 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.57 | High |
| 00:00 | UK | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | -42.400000 | -25.800000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 53.900000 | 54.000000 | 53.500000 | 52.90 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 52.000000 | 51.800000 | 51.500000 | 51.58 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 53.900000 | 53.700000 | 53.300000 | 52.63 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash | 52.000000 | 51.800000 | 51.900000 | 51.95 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI Flash | 53.900000 | 53.700000 | 53.300000 | 53.60 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI Flash | 53.900000 | 54.000000 | 53.600000 | 53.75 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Sales MoM | 1.800000 | 0.400000 | 0.200000 | 0.57 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY | 5.500000 | - | 3.400000 | 3.92 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM | 2.000000 | 0.300000 | 0.100000 | 0.55 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Sales YoY | 4.500000 | 1.900000 | 2.700000 | 3.13 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks | 30.400000 | -13.400000 | 19.000000 | 18.97 | low |
| Thursday, February 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | -28 | -30 | -25 | -24.83 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | -28.000000 | -30.000000 | -25.000000 | -24.83 | medium |
| Wednesday, February 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 2.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 | NaN | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Inflation Rate YoY | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | 3.00 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.5 | 0.4 | -0.4 | -0.42 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 3.1 | 3.2 | 3 | 3.05 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate MoM | -0.6 | 0.3 | -0.6 | -0.57 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Input MoM | 0.4 | -0.5 | 0.1 | 0.25 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Price Index YoY | 3.8 | 4.2 | 3.9 | 3.85 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Input YoY | -0.2 | 0.5 | 0.9 | 0.75 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Output MoM | 0 | -0.1 | 0.1 | -0.15 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Output YoY | 2.5 | 3.1 | 3.2 | 2.78 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Price Index MoM | -0.5 | 0.7 | -0.1 | -0.20 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | CPI | 3 | 3.4 | 3 | NaN | High |
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 2.400000 | 2.500000 | 1.800000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Price Index MoM | -0.500000 | 0.700000 | -0.100000 | -0.20 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | PPI Output YoY | 2.500000 | 3.100000 | 3.200000 | 2.78 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | PPI Output MoM | 0.000000 | -0.100000 | 0.100000 | -0.15 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | PPI Core Output YoY | 2.900000 | - | 3.300000 | 2.80 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | PPI Input YoY | -0.200000 | 0.500000 | 0.900000 | 0.75 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | PPI Core Output MoM | 0.200000 | - | 0.100000 | -0.18 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Price Index YoY | 3.800000 | 4.200000 | 3.900000 | 3.85 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | PPI Input MoM | 0.400000 | -0.500000 | 0.100000 | 0.25 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate MoM | -0.600000 | 0.300000 | -0.600000 | -0.57 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 3.100000 | 3.200000 | 3.000000 | 3.05 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Inflation Rate MoM | -0.500000 | 0.400000 | -0.400000 | -0.42 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.000000 | 3.400000 | 3.000000 | 3.00 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Core RPI YoY | 3.700000 | 4.100000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Core RPI MoM | -0.500000 | 0.700000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | CPI | 3.000000 | 3.400000 | 3.000000 | NaN | high |
| Tuesday, February 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 5.2 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.08 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | 28.6 | 2.7 | 22 | 22.73 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Employment Change | 52 | 82 | -40 | 4.67 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 4.2 | 4.6 | 4.4 | 4.37 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Labour Productivity QoQ | -0.600000 | - | -0.500000 | -0.55 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 4.200000 | 4.600000 | 4.400000 | 4.37 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | HMRC Payrolls Change | -11.000000 | - | -10.000000 | -5.17 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Employment Change | 52.000000 | 82.000000 | -40.000000 | 4.67 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 4.200000 | - | 4.400000 | 4.30 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | 28.600000 | 2.700000 | 22.000000 | 22.73 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 5.200000 | 5.100000 | 5.100000 | 5.08 | high |
| Monday, February 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index MoM | 0.000000 | 2.800000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 0.000000 | 0.500000 | - | - | low |
| Friday, February 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | - | -14 | -12 | -12.67 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | -25.800000 | -13.900000 | - | - | medium |
| Thursday, February 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.18 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Business Investment QoQ | -2.7 | 1.6 | 0.5 | 0.03 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.03 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production YoY | 0.5 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.02 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 0.7 | 1.2 | 1.3 | 1.28 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Balance of Trade | -4.34 | -11.33 | -6 | NaN | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Construction Output YoY | -0.3 | -0.3 | -0.8 | -0.75 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Industrial Production YoY | 0.5 | 2.3 | 1.6 | 1.35 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Industrial Production MoM | -0.9 | 1.3 | -0.2 | -0.42 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Business Investment YoY | 2 | 2.5 | 3.1 | 2.92 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production MoM | -0.5 | 1.9 | -0.3 | -0.37 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | 0.1 | -0.1 | 0.2 | NaN | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Construction Output MoM | -0.5 | -0.8 | 0.5 | 0.40 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.18 | High |
| 00:01 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | -10 | -14 | -12 | -12.67 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI | 49.000000 | 49.200000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production MoM | -0.500000 | 1.900000 | -0.300000 | -0.37 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Business Investment YoY | 2.000000 | 2.500000 | 3.100000 | 2.92 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Industrial Production MoM | -0.900000 | 1.300000 | -0.200000 | -0.42 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Industrial Production YoY | 0.500000 | 2.300000 | 1.600000 | 1.35 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Construction Output YoY | -0.300000 | -0.300000 | -0.800000 | -0.75 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Balance of Trade | -4.340000 | -11.330000 | -6.000000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 0.700000 | 1.200000 | 1.300000 | 1.28 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production YoY | 0.500000 | 1.300000 | 1.200000 | 1.02 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance Non-EU | -10.990000 | - | -11.200000 | NaN | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Construction Orders YoY | 28.600000 | - | 25.000000 | 26.80 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | GDP 3-Month Avg | 0.100000 | - | 0.200000 | 0.15 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 1.000000 | - | 1.200000 | 1.17 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 0.100000 | 0.200000 | 0.100000 | 0.03 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Business Investment QoQ | -2.700000 | 1.600000 | 0.500000 | 0.03 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance | -22.720000 | - | -23.000000 | -20.37 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.100000 | 0.100000 | 0.200000 | 0.18 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.100000 | 0.100000 | 0.200000 | 0.18 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Construction Output MoM | -0.500000 | -0.800000 | 0.500000 | 0.40 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | 0.300000 | -0.100000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | -10.000000 | -14.000000 | -12.000000 | -12.67 | medium |
| Tuesday, February 10, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY | 2.3 | 1 | 1.3 | 0.90 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | 5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction | 4.001000 | 3.821000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY | 2.300000 | 1.000000 | 1.300000 | 0.90 | medium |
| Saturday, February 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 1 | 0.3 | 0 | NaN | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | House Price Index MoM | 0.7 | -0.6 | 0.4 | NaN | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index MoM | 0.700000 | -0.600000 | 0.400000 | NaN | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 1.000000 | 0.300000 | 0.000000 | NaN | medium |
| Friday, February 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | UK | BBA Mortgage Rate | 6.62 | 6.77 | 6.7 | 6.68 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | -13.900000 | -16.200000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | BBA Mortgage Rate | 6.620000 | 6.770000 | 6.700000 | 6.68 | low |
| Thursday, February 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:00 | UK | Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 5 | 4 | 7 | 13.33 | Medium |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Hike | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | Medium |
| 12:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Cut | 4 | 5 | 2 | -4.33 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Construction PMI | 46.4 | 40.1 | 42.5 | 42.32 | Medium |
| 09:00 | UK | New Car Sales YoY | 3.4 | 3.9 | 2 | 4.30 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | CPI | 2.900000 | 3.200000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Cut | 4.000000 | 5.000000 | 2.000000 | -4.33 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Hike | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.000000 | 0.00 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | BoE Interest Rate Decision | 3.750000 | 3.750000 | 3.750000 | 3.75 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | BoE MPC Vote Unchanged | 5.000000 | 4.000000 | 7.000000 | 13.33 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Interest Rate Decision | 3.750000 | 3.750000 | 3.750000 | 3.75 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Construction PMI | 46.400000 | 40.100000 | 42.500000 | 42.32 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | New Car Sales YoY | 3.400000 | 3.900000 | 2.000000 | 4.30 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | New Car Registrations YoY | 3.400000 | 3.900000 | - | - | low |
| Wednesday, February 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 53.7 | 51.4 | 53.9 | 53.23 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 54 | 51.4 | 54.3 | 53.70 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 54.000000 | 51.400000 | 54.300000 | 53.70 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 53.700000 | 51.400000 | 53.900000 | 53.23 | low |
| Tuesday, February 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | UK | 10-Year Treasury Gilt Auction | 4.585000 | 4.456000 | - | - | low |
| Monday, February 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 51.8 | 50.6 | 51.6 | 51.68 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | 0.3 | -0.4 | 0.6 | 0.55 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | 1 | 0.6 | 1.5 | 1.38 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 51.800000 | 50.600000 | 51.600000 | 51.68 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices YoY | 1.000000 | 0.600000 | 1.500000 | 1.38 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Nationwide Housing Prices MoM | 0.300000 | -0.400000 | 0.600000 | 0.55 | medium |
| Friday, January 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 61.01 | 64.07 | 64.4 | 64.41 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 1.524 | 2.143 | 1.9 | 2.11 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 0.88 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Lending | 4.6 | 4.59 | 4.6 | 4.83 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals | 6.1 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 6.45 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | -16.200000 | -22.000000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Mortgage Lending | 4.600000 | 4.590000 | 4.600000 | 4.83 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | 0.300000 | 0.800000 | 0.700000 | 0.88 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 1.524000 | 2.143000 | 1.900000 | 2.11 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals MoM | 6.100000 | - | 4.200000 | 4.95 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 61.010000 | 64.070000 | 64.400000 | 64.41 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals | 6.100000 | 6.600000 | 6.100000 | 6.45 | low |
| Thursday, January 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | Car Production YoY | 17.7 | -14.3 | 6.7 | -1.78 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | Car Production YoY | 17.700000 | -14.300000 | 6.700000 | -1.78 | low |
| Tuesday, January 27, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | BRC Shop Price Index YoY | 1.5 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.73 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | New Car Registrations MoM | -3.200000 | 4.300000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | New Car Registrations YoY | 3.900000 | -1.600000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | BRC Shop Price Index YoY | 1.500000 | 0.700000 | 0.700000 | 0.73 | low |
| Friday, January 23, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI Flash | - | 51.4 | 51.7 | 52.00 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI Flash | - | 50.6 | 50.8 | 50.85 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI Flash | - | 51.4 | 51.5 | 51.65 | High |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | - | 51.4 | 51.7 | 51.10 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | - | 50.6 | 50.6 | 50.68 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales MoM | - | -0.1 | -0.2 | 0.17 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales YoY | - | 0.6 | 0.8 | 1.23 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales Ex Fuel YoY | - | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.22 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Sales Ex Fuel MoM | - | -0.2 | -0.3 | 0.15 | High |
| 00:01 | UK | Consumer Confidence | - | -17 | -17 | -16.50 | Medium |
| Thursday, January 22, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Distributive Trades | - | -44 | -57 | -65.33 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing Ex Banks | - | -11.65 | -15 | -15.03 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Public Sector Net Borrowing | - | -11.65 | -13.5 | -13.50 | Low |
| Wednesday, January 21, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Industrial Trends Orders | - | -32 | -28 | -27.83 | Medium |
| 11:00 | UK | CBI Business Optimism Index | - | -31 | -27 | -27.00 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | House Price Index YoY | - | 1.7 | 1.8 | NaN | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Core Output YoY | - | 3.5 | 3.4 | 2.90 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate MoM | - | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0.23 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Core Inflation Rate YoY | - | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.15 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Input YoY | - | 1.1 | 1 | 0.85 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Output MoM | - | 0.1 | 0.1 | -0.15 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Core Output MoM | - | 0 | 0.1 | -0.18 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Price Index MoM | - | -0.4 | 0.2 | 0.10 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Output YoY | - | 3.4 | 3.3 | 2.88 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Retail Price Index YoY | - | 3.8 | 3.7 | 3.65 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Inflation Rate YoY | - | 3.2 | 3.1 | 3.10 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | PPI Input MoM | - | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.25 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Inflation Rate MoM | - | -0.2 | 0.2 | 0.18 | Medium |
| Tuesday, January 20, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 07:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 4.7 | 4.7 | 4.5 | 4.47 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 4.5 | 4.6 | 4.5 | 4.40 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | HMRC Payrolls Change | -43 | -38 | -20 | -15.17 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Employment Change | 82 | -16 | -25 | 19.67 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | 17.9 | 20.1 | 20.5 | 21.23 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.1 | 5.08 | High |
| 00:00 | UK | Unemployment Rate | 5.100000 | 5.100000 | 5.100000 | 5.08 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Claimant Count Change | 17.900000 | 20.100000 | 20.500000 | 21.23 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Employment Change | 82.000000 | -16.000000 | -25.000000 | 19.67 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | HMRC Payrolls Change | -43.000000 | -38.000000 | -20.000000 | -15.17 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Average Earnings excl. Bonus | 4.500000 | 4.600000 | 4.500000 | 4.40 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Average Earnings incl. Bonus | 4.700000 | 4.700000 | 4.500000 | 4.47 | medium |
| Monday, January 19, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index MoM | 2.800000 | -1.800000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 0.500000 | -0.600000 | - | - | low |
| Friday, January 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | - | -0.1 | -0.1 | NaN | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | -25.300000 | -30.500000 | - | - | medium |
| Thursday, January 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 13:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | - | -0.1 | -0.1 | NaN | Low |
| 12:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | - | -0.1 | -0.1 | NaN | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | GDP 3-Month Avg | 0.1 | 0 | -0.2 | -0.25 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production MoM | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.43 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 0.3 | -0.1 | 0.1 | 0.03 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance Non-EU | -11.46 | -11.81 | -9.1 | NaN | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Balance of Trade | -6.116 | -6.531 | -3.5 | NaN | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Industrial Production MoM | 1.1 | 1.3 | 0.1 | -0.12 | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Industrial Production YoY | 2.3 | 0.4 | -0.4 | -0.65 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production YoY | 2.1 | -0.2 | -0.3 | -0.48 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance | -23.71 | -24.17 | -20.4 | -17.77 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | Construction Output YoY | -1.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 0.15 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.4 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.08 | High |
| 07:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | 0.1 | 0 | -0.2 | NaN | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | Construction Output MoM | -1.3 | -1.2 | -0.3 | -0.40 | Low |
| 00:01 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | -14 | -14 | -16 | -16.67 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Thomson Reuters IPSOS PCSI | 49.200000 | 47.300000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 1.400000 | 1.100000 | 1.100000 | 1.08 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Construction Output YoY | -1.100000 | 0.900000 | 0.100000 | 0.15 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance | -23.710000 | -24.170000 | -20.400000 | -17.77 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production YoY | 2.100000 | -0.200000 | -0.300000 | -0.48 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Industrial Production YoY | 2.300000 | 0.400000 | -0.400000 | -0.65 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Industrial Production MoM | 1.100000 | 1.300000 | 0.100000 | -0.12 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Balance of Trade | -6.116000 | -6.531000 | -3.500000 | NaN | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Goods Trade Balance Non-EU | -11.460000 | -11.810000 | -9.100000 | NaN | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Gross Domestic Product MoM | 0.300000 | -0.100000 | 0.100000 | 0.03 | high |
| 00:00 | UK | Manufacturing Production MoM | 2.100000 | 0.400000 | 0.500000 | 0.43 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | GDP 3-Month Avg | 0.100000 | 0.000000 | -0.200000 | -0.25 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Construction Output MoM | -1.300000 | -1.200000 | -0.300000 | -0.40 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | NIESR Monthly GDP Tracker | 0.100000 | 0.000000 | -0.200000 | NaN | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | RICS House Price Balance | -14.000000 | -14.000000 | -16.000000 | -16.67 | medium |
| Wednesday, January 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | UK | 10-Year Treasury Gilt Auction | 4.456000 | 4.613000 | - | - | low |
| Tuesday, January 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:01 | UK | BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY | 1 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.20 | High |
| 00:01 | UK | Retail Sales YoY | - | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.03 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | BRC Retail Sales Monitor YoY | 1.000000 | 1.200000 | 0.600000 | 0.20 | high |
| Friday, January 9, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | UK | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | -30.500000 | -33.200000 | - | - | medium |
| Thursday, January 8, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | UK | BBA Mortgage Rate | 6.77 | 6.81 | 6.6 | 6.58 | Low |
| 07:00 | UK | House Price Index MoM | -0.6 | -0.1 | 0.2 | NaN | Medium |
| 07:00 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.1 | NaN | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | BBA Mortgage Rate | 6.770000 | 6.810000 | 6.600000 | 6.58 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | CPI | 3.200000 | 3.400000 | - | - | high |
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index YoY | 0.300000 | 0.600000 | 1.100000 | NaN | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | House Price Index MoM | -0.600000 | -0.100000 | 0.200000 | NaN | medium |
| Wednesday, January 7, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Construction PMI | 40.1 | 39.4 | 40.1 | 39.92 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | 5-Year Treasury Gilt Auction | 3.980000 | 4.093000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Construction PMI | 40.100000 | 39.400000 | 40.100000 | 39.92 | medium |
| Tuesday, January 6, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 51.4 | 51.2 | 52.1 | 51.43 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 51.4 | 51.3 | 52.1 | 51.50 | Low |
| 09:00 | UK | New Car Sales YoY | 3.9 | -1.6 | -1 | 1.30 | Low |
| 00:01 | UK | Retail Sales YoY | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 1.03 | Medium |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Services PMI | 51.400000 | 51.300000 | 52.100000 | 51.50 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | S&P Global Composite PMI | 51.400000 | 51.200000 | 52.100000 | 51.43 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | New Car Sales YoY | 3.900000 | -1.600000 | -1.000000 | 1.30 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | New Car Registrations YoY | 3.900000 | -1.600000 | - | - | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Retail Sales YoY | 0.700000 | 1.200000 | 0.600000 | 1.03 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | BRC Shop Price Index YoY | 0.700000 | 0.600000 | - | - | low |
| Monday, January 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 64.53 | 65.01 | 64.4 | 64.41 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 2.077 | 1.713 | 1.1 | 1.31 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals MoM | 6.6 | 5.9 | 5.2 | 5.95 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | 0.8 | -0.2 | -0.1 | 0.08 | Low |
| 09:30 | UK | Mortgage Lending | 4.49 | 4.16 | 4.5 | 4.73 | Medium |
| 09:30 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals | 6.6 | 5.4 | 5.2 | 5.55 | Low |
| 00:00 | UK | CFTC GBP speculative net positions | -33.200000 | -41.200000 | - | - | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Mortgage Lending | 4.490000 | 4.160000 | 4.500000 | 4.73 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | M4 Money Supply MoM | 0.800000 | -0.200000 | -0.100000 | 0.08 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals MoM | 6.600000 | 5.900000 | 5.200000 | 5.95 | low |
| 00:00 | UK | BoE Consumer Credit | 2.077000 | 1.713000 | 1.100000 | 1.31 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Mortgage Approvals | 64.530000 | 65.010000 | 64.400000 | 64.41 | medium |
| 00:00 | UK | Net Lending to Individuals | 6.600000 | 5.400000 | 5.200000 | 5.55 | low |
| Sunday, January 1, 2023 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 32.216200636096 | 32.216200636096 | 32.216200636096 | 32.22 | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | GDP growth (annual %) | 0.10401784915928 | 0.10401784915928 | 0.10401784915928 | 0.10 | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 2.681 | 2.681 | 2.681 | 2.68 | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Population, total | 68350000 | 68350000 | 68350000 | 68350000.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 31.662677125869 | 31.662677125869 | 31.662677125869 | 31.66 | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP) | 119.35372747864 | 119.35372747864 | 119.35372747864 | 119.35 | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Central government debt, total (% of GDP) | 138.19348984882 | 138.19348984882 | 138.19348984882 | 138.19 | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Labor force, total | 35193154 | 35193154 | 35193154 | 35193154.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Consumer price index (2010 = 100) | 142.74089143703 | 142.74089143703 | 142.74089143703 | 142.74 | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Inflation, consumer prices (annual %) | 6.7939670679396 | 6.7939670679396 | 6.7939670679396 | 6.79 | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (national estimate) | 4.025 | 4.025 | 4.025 | 4.03 | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | GDP (current US$) | 3340032380668 | 3340032380668 | 3340032380668 | 3340032380668.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -3.3051524154312 | -3.3051524154312 | -3.3051524154312 | -3.31 | Medium |
| Saturday, January 1, 2022 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Current account balance (% of GDP) | -3.2515680999383 | -3.2515680999383 | -3.2515680999383 | -3.25 | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Imports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 35.313335666007 | 35.313335666007 | 35.313335666007 | 35.31 | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | GDP growth (annual %) | 4.3452288343657 | 4.3452288343657 | 4.3452288343657 | 4.35 | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Unemployment with advanced education (% of total labor force with advanced education) | 2.359 | 2.359 | 2.359 | 2.36 | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | New businesses registered (number) | 790311 | 790311 | 790311 | 790311.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Population, total | 67791000 | 67791000 | 67791000 | 67791000.00 | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Exports of goods and services (% of GDP) | 33.567194473779 | 33.567194473779 | 33.567194473779 | 33.57 | Medium |
| 00:00 | GBRGBR | Domestic credit to private sector by banks (% of GDP) | 128.55252554199 | 128.55252554199 | 128.55252554199 | 128.55 | Medium |
