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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ArmeniaArmenia Current Account climbed to -773.6M in January 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Armenia Current Account climbed to -773.6M in January 2026, released June 2026, up 85.5M from December's -859.1M reading. The reading matched the -800M consensus. Current Account has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Current Account is now the lowest in 24 months.
Latest Release
-773.6
Actual
-800
Consensus
-859.1
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±183.25 million
across last 7 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: -956.85
Actual: -773.6
Error: -183.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Current Account (Armenia) was reported at -773.60 million in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of -800.00 million by 26.40 million. The reading rose from the previous value of -859.10 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged -565.67 million, down from the prior three at -509.97 million.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 7 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 183.25 million.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for September 30, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Current Account - AM
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About Current Account — Armenia
DEFINITION
The Current Account is a financial indicator that measures a country's trade balance, including the value of goods and services exported and imported, as well as income received and payments made to other countries. It provides insight into a nation's economic health and its ability to pay for imports and service its debt. A positive current account balance indicates a surplus, while a negative balance indicates a deficit. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and economists as it can impact a country's currency value and overall economic stability.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual -773.6 M, consensus -800 M. Prior reading (Oct 2025): -633.7 M. Before that (Jul 2025): -289.7 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - AM Events
| Tuesday, September 15, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | AM | Interest Rate Decision | 6.75 | 6.5 | 6.5 | 6.63 | Low |