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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BHBH Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to -3.8% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
BH Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to -3.8% in July 2026, released August 2026, down 8.4% from June's 4.6% reading.
Latest Release
-3.800000
Actual
—
Consensus
4.600000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Bahrain) was reported at -3.8% in August 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 4.6%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.9%, down from the prior three at 2.87%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - BH
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — BH
DEFINITION
Bahrain's Gross Domestic Product YoY contracted by -3.800000% in July 2026, a sharp reversal from June's 4.600000% growth. This marks a significant economic downturn after months of expansion. Market focus will remain on upcoming data releases and central bank responses amid this unexpected contraction. Updated 8/27/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual -3.8 %. Prior reading (Oct 2025): 4.6 %. Before that (Jul 2025): 4 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - BH Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18:10 | BH | Interest Rate Decision | 4.75 | 4.5 | 4.75 | 4.75 | Low |
| 18:30 | BH | Interest Rate Decision | 4.75 | 4.5 | 4.75 | 4.75 | Low |