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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
BahrainBahrain Inflation Rate MoM fell to -0.2% in March 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased April 2025
Bahrain Inflation Rate MoM fell to -0.2% in March 2025, released April 2025, down 0.5% from February's 0.3% reading. The print came in cooler than the 0.2% consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated. The print is running well below the 12-month average of -0.03%. Over the past 3 months, Inflation Rate MoM averaged 0.07%, vs -0.2% in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 29th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
-0.2
Actual
0.2
Consensus
0.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.2 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Apr 2025
Predicted: 0.2
Actual: -0.2
Error: +0.4
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Inflation Rate MoM (Bahrain) was reported at -0.2% in April 2025. This missed the market consensus of 0.2% by 0.4%. The reading fell from the previous value of 0.3%.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 0.07%, up from the prior three at -0.17%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.2%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update April 2025.
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Inflation Rate MoM - BH
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About Inflation Rate MoM — Bahrain
DEFINITION
The Inflation Rate MoM (Month-over-Month) is a financial indicator that measures the percentage change in the overall price level of goods and services in a given economy from one month to the next. It is a key measure of inflation and provides insight into the rate at which prices are rising or falling, which can impact consumer purchasing power and overall economic stability. This indicator is closely monitored by economists, policymakers, and investors to assess the health of an economy and make informed decisions.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Mar 2025): actual -0.2 %, consensus 0.2 %. Prior reading (Mar 2025): -0.2 %. Before that (Feb 2025): 0.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.