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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LKLK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI held to 53 Points in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
LK S&P Global Manufacturing PMI held to 53 Points in September 2026, released October 2026. The reading matched the 52.9 Points consensus.
Latest Release
53.000000
Actual
52.900000
Consensus
53.000000
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±2.37
across last 6 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: 53.55
Actual: 53
Error: +0.55
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.96 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.86 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.77 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.65 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.58 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (LK) was reported at 53.00 Points in September 2026. This beat the market consensus of 52.90 Points by 0.10 Points. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 52.83 Points, ranging from 42.60 Points to 56.80 Points across 6 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 53.67 Points, up from the prior three at 52.00 Points.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with GBP/USD, positively correlated (Bullish GBP). Over the last 6 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 2.38 Points.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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S&P Global Manufacturing PMI - LK
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About S&P Global Manufacturing PMI — LK
DEFINITION
The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI is a widely recognized financial indicator that measures the performance of the manufacturing sector in major economies around the world. It provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the global manufacturing industry, serving as a key barometer for investors, businesses, and policymakers. The index is based on a monthly survey of purchasing managers, and its timely and accurate data is highly regarded for its ability to forecast economic trends and inform decision-making.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 53 Points, consensus 52.9 Points. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 53 Points. Before that (Jul 2026): 55 Points.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU, r=0.96) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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