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Data from FRED. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United KingdomUK UK Unemployment Rate held to 5.2 Percent in November 2025
FREDMonthlyReleased December 2025
UK UK Unemployment Rate held to 5.2 Percent in November 2025, released December 2025.
Latest Release
5.200000
Actual
—
Consensus
5.200000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.94 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.72 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.69 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.63 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.56 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
UK Unemployment Rate (United Kingdom) was reported at 5.20 Percent in November 2025. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 5.01 Percent, ranging from 4.70 Percent to 5.20 Percent across 7 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 5.17 Percent, up from the prior three at 4.97 Percent. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.18 Percent) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.18 Percent). In December readings over the past 3 years, UK Unemployment Rate has averaged 4.57 Percent.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
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UK Unemployment Rate - GB
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About UK Unemployment Rate — United Kingdom
DEFINITION
GB’s UK Unemployment Rate rose to 5.2% in November 2025, up from 5.1% in October, marking the highest level since early 2021. The rate has increased steadily for nine months, climbing from 4.5% in February and signaling growing slack in the labour market. Bond yields fell modestly as investors reassessed growth prospects amid mounting labour market pressures. Updated 4/3/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Dec 2025): actual 5.2 Percent. Prior reading (Nov 2025): 5.2 Percent. Before that (Oct 2025): 5.1 Percent.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR, r=0.94) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.