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UK UK Unemployment Rate held to 5.2 Percent in November 2025, released December 2025.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.94 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.72 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.69 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.63 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.56 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
UK Unemployment Rate (United Kingdom) was reported at 5.20 Percent in November 2025. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 5.01 Percent, ranging from 4.70 Percent to 5.20 Percent across 7 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
The trailing three releases averaged 5.17 Percent, up from the prior three at 4.97 Percent. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.18 Percent) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.18 Percent). In December readings over the past 3 years, UK Unemployment Rate has averaged 4.57 Percent.
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
GB’s UK Unemployment Rate rose to 5.2% in November 2025, up from 5.1% in October, marking the highest level since early 2021. The rate has increased steadily for nine months, climbing from 4.5% in February and signaling growing slack in the labour market. Bond yields fell modestly as investors reassessed growth prospects amid mounting labour market pressures. Updated 4/3/26
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Dec 2025): actual 5.2 Percent. Prior reading (Nov 2025): 5.2 Percent. Before that (Oct 2025): 5.1 Percent.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bullish EUR, r=0.94) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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