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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
GreeceGreece HICP YoY fell to 3.9% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Greece HICP YoY fell to 3.9% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 1.0% from May's 4.9% reading.
Latest Release
3.900000
Actual
—
Consensus
4.900000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.37 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.35 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
HICP YoY (Greece) was reported at 3.9% in July 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 4.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 3.07%, ranging from 1.6% to 4.9% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 3.97%, up from the prior three at 2.87%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.91%) is higher than the prior year (σ 0.3%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with S&P 500, negatively correlated (Bearish S&P 500).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 7, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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HICP YoY - GR
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About HICP YoY — Greece
DEFINITION
Greece's HICP YoY inflation for June came in at 3.900000%, down from May's 4.900000%, marking a clear deceleration in price growth. June's reading signals easing inflationary pressures after a peak in May. Market focus now shifts to upcoming ECB policy decisions amid this cooling trend. Updated 7/11/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 3.9 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 4.9 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 4.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - GR Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09:00 | GR | Retail Sales YoY | 6.8 | -0.3 | 3 | 4.90 | Low |
| Monday, August 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | GR | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 53.8 | 54 | 52.75 | Low | |