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Norway Credit Indicator fell to 4.4% in April 2026, released May 2026, down 0.1% from March's 4.5% reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.80 | INDEX | Bearish S&P 500 | → View |
| DAX | ▼ Inverse | −0.72 | INDEX | Bearish DAX | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.71 | COMMODITIES | Bullish XAU | → View |
| Euro STOXX 50 | ▼ Inverse | −0.69 | INDEX | Bearish Euro STOXX 50 | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.41 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Credit Indicator (Norway) was reported at 4.4% in May 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 4.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 4.15%, ranging from 3.8% to 4.6% across 11 releases.
The trailing three releases averaged 4.47%, up from the prior three at 4.07%.
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500). A secondary relationship exists with DAX, negatively correlated (Bearish DAX).
The next release is scheduled for June 22, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Norges Bank Interest Rate Decision (Jun 18) and Interest Rate Decision (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
The Credit Indicator is a key financial measure that tracks the availability and usage of credit within an economy. It provides valuable insights into the overall health of the credit market and can be used to assess the level of risk and potential impact on economic growth. This indicator is closely monitored by financial institutions, policymakers, and investors to make informed decisions and identify potential opportunities or risks in the credit market. By analyzing the Credit Indicator, stakeholders can gain a better understanding of the current credit conditions and make strategic decisions to manage their credit exposure.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 4.4 %. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 4.4 %. Before that (Feb 2026): 4.6 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary neutral force in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with S&P 500 (Bearish S&P 500, r=-0.80) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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| Thursday, June 18, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08:00 | Norges Bank Interest Rate Decision | 4.25 | 4.25 | 4.25 | Medium | ||
| 08:00 | Interest Rate Decision | 4.25 | 4.25 | 4.25 | Medium | ||