BBY Stock Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

BBY

stocks
/

Current Price

November 05, 2026
Market Closed
100.42
Actual
October 05, 2026
+15.12%
87.23
1 Month Ago
November 05, 2025
+24.20%
80.86
1 Year Ago
52W HIGH
101.49
· Nov 4, 2026
52W LOW
55.10
· May 13, 2026
Highest close in our data
138.10
· Nov 2021coverage since 2019

Upcoming Forecasts

View All Forecasts →
BBY · STOCKS
14-DAY FORECAST · 11/19/26

Earnings (Nov 24) inside the 28D window — premium not comparable to band.

EXPECTED MOVE± 7.9%range 92.53 – 108.32 · 14D
57.7379.08100.42121.77143.1295%124.4280%113.3360%108.32invalidation level60%92.53invalidation level80%87.5295%76.43current 100.42−28dtoday+7d+14d+28d+19d · Earnings · EPS est 1.49

Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)

Upper / lower bound108.32 / 92.53
Outside-range leveloutside 92.53 – 108.32price exits the expected band (either side)
Containmentearly record · 54.3% (81 forecast-days · n_eff=8 independent windows) · CI 25–81%60% band · as of 4 Nov 2026 · n_eff as of 1 Nov 2026 · 80% band: early record · 81.5% (81 forecast-days · n_eff=8 independent windows) · CI 47–96%
Term structure · expected move by horizon

Containment = share of graded forecast-days the 60% band held; its 95% interval counts independent windows only (n_eff, non-overlapping, stride = horizon) — per-symbol audit; static backtest copy where the audit has no n_eff yet. Magnitude only, not a directional record.

Outcome legend
Magnitude · primary
How big was the move vs the forecast band?
+12.4%band-relative outcome efficiency
—efficiency not yet computed for this trade
Zone
Did price stay inside the expected band?
CONTAINEDentry price inside the expected band
BREACHED HIGHentry above the band's upper bound
BREACHED LOWentry below the band's lower bound
Magnitude· primary
MODERATEconviction

5 of 7 models in band

± 7.86% expected move

backtest — refresh paused (#568)

Actionable · size by band. The validated edge is magnitude, not direction.

Alignment· context only
2H up1D up1W up

Coherent trend across 2H/1D/1W.

Context, not a trade signal · forward test pending.

Descriptive — does not size the band.

Regime Read· options premium

loading premium read…

Suitability · premium context. Whether options are rich or cheap to own here — sizing input, not a price call.

Expected Range· 7–28d calibrated zone
Forecast batch: 11/5/26

BBY's calibrated band puts the expected move at ±5.1% over 7 days, widening to ±12.1% over 28. Options screen cheap at 7D and 14D while 28D screens fair (VRP ≈ 0.85×).

Premium grade: 2026-11-05 05:01 UTC

Sigmacast expected range · containment-audited · early record · 81.5% (81 forecast-days · n_eff=8 independent windows) · CI 47–96% · as of 4 Nov 2026 · n_eff as of 1 Nov 2026 → full record

Across 81 graded 14-day forecast-days since 11 Jun 2026 (8 independent windows), BBY's expected-range band contained price 81.5% of the time (95% CI 47–96%; stated rate: 80%).

As of November 5, 2026, BBY is trading at 100.42. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this stock generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.

Signal Tracker Record / PerformancePast Performance →

Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.

SHARE

SETUP

Best Buy Co., Inc. (BBY) is a publicly traded stock covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The BBY stock closed at 100.43 on November 5, 2026, reflecting a decline of 0.93% from the previous close of 101.37. BBY is listed on the IEX.

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

Over the past 30 days, the stock has experienced a strong uptrend with a rally of 10.93%, ranging between 83.6500 and 103.54. The price currently trades above its 20-day moving average of 94.8955. The 14-day RSI stands at 60.2, in the upper part of its range.

THE RISK

Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 2.81%, reflecting typical price variability for this stock. Over the past 52 weeks, BBY traded between 55.1000 (May 13, 2026) and 101.49 (Nov 4, 2026); the current price sits 1.0% below the 52-week high.

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Daily-return volatility of 2.81% runs elevated for this stock, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. BBY is currently trading 5.83% above its 20-day moving average and sitting in the upper portion of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 60.2, currently in neutral territory.

Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)

8 correlated indicators

Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.

Positively correlated: Total Vehicle Sales (US) (r=+0.83), ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders (US) (r=+0.75), Crude Oil Production (Monthly) (US) (r=+0.75), BoE Consumer Credit (US) (r=+0.72)

Inversely correlated: Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index (US) (r=-0.81), PPI Final Demand Ex Food Energy Trade (US) (r=-0.76), Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air (US) (r=-0.75), Producer Price Index MoM (US) (r=-0.71)

Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Nov 2026.

Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.