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Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air climbed to 3.3 in March 2026, up 1.7 from February's 1.6 reading. The print exceeded the 0.5 consensus by 2.8. Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air averaged 0.4, vs 0.7 in the prior 3-month window. Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air is now the highest in 36 months.
The April 2026 reading rose from the previous value of 1.6. Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/CAD (Bearish USD) and negatively correlated with USD/JPY (Bearish USD).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Monday, May 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | Existing Home Sales MoM | -3.6 | 2.1 | -0.40 | Medium | ||
| 14:00 | Existing Home Sales | 3.98 | 4.05 | 3.90 | High | ||
| Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 95.8 | 96.1 | 95.85 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | CPI s.a | 330.293 | 331.9 | 331.90 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.40 | High | ||
| 12:30 | CPI | 330.21 | 332.3 | 332.30 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.3 | 3.7 | 3.70 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.60 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.70 | High | ||
| 12:30 | CPI MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | ||
| 12:30 | CPI YoY | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.70 | Medium | ||
| 18:00 | Monthly Budget Statement | -164.1 | 37.5 | 35.00 | Medium | ||
| 18:00 | Budget Balance | -164 | 37.5 | 37.30 | Medium | ||
| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index | 154.006 | 154.6 | 154.60 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI YoY | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.30 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index YoY | 4 | 4.9 | 4.90 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | ||
| Thursday, May 14, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Autos MoM | 1.9 | 0.6 | 0.60 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Initial Jobless Claims | 200 | 205 | 205.00 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1766 | 1775 | 1775.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices YoY | 5.6 | 6.6 | 6.60 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices MoM | 0.8 | 0.9 | 0.80 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales MoM | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.30 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Import Prices YoY | 2.1 | 2.9 | 2.80 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Export Prices MoM | 1.6 | 1.1 | 1.10 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales Ex Gas/Autos MoM | 0.6 | 0.1 | 0.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 203.25 | 204 | 204.00 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Retail Sales YoY | 4 | 3.3 | 3.05 | Low | ||
| 14:00 | Business Inventories MoM | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.25 | Medium | ||