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Data from FRED. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS Advance Retail Sales held to 757,085 Millions USD in March 2026
FREDMonthlyReleased April 2026
US Advance Retail Sales held to 757,085 Millions USD in March 2026, released April 2026.
Latest Release
757085.000000
Actual
—
Consensus
757085.000000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/CAD | ▼ Inverse | −0.59 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.55 | CRYPTO | Bearish BTC | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▼ Inverse | −0.40 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.33 | FOREX | Bearish USD | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.32 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Advance Retail Sales (United States) was reported at 757,085.00 Millions USD in March 2026. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 737,628.70 Millions USD, ranging from 727,727.00 Millions USD to 757,085.00 Millions USD across 10 releases. This is classified as a high-impact indicator released on a monthly basis.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 750,075.67 Millions USD, up from the prior three at 734,463.33 Millions USD. Volatility over the past year (σ 9,313.39 Millions USD) is comparable than the prior year (σ 8,491.55 Millions USD). In April readings over the past 3 years, Advance Retail Sales has averaged 722,158.67 Millions USD.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with USD/CAD (Bearish USD). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index (Jun 18) and Initial Jobless Claims (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update April 2026.
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Advance Retail Sales - US
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About Advance Retail Sales — United States
DEFINITION
US Advance Retail Sales rose to 738366.000000 million USD in January 2026, up from December’s 733955.000000 million USD, marking a new 12-month high. The 0.6% increase from December signals persistent consumer demand despite tighter financial conditions. Equities gained on the report, while bond yields edged higher as markets priced in steady Federal Reserve policy. Updated 4/3/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Consumer activity accounts for the majority of GDP in advanced economies, making spending data a key cyclical signal for retail and discretionary sectors. Surprises against consensus typically move rates and currencies on release. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 757,085 Millions USD. Prior reading (Mar 2026): 753,370 Millions USD. Before that (Feb 2026): 739,772 Millions USD.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/CAD (Bearish USD, r=-0.59) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.