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Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.
Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone
Cheap vol watchForecast batch: 8/5/26
Market-data read
UPS reads range-bound — no clean directional character at any horizon (ER 0.32 / 0.32 / 0.03). Recent action is directionless chop rather than a trend. Term-structure band: ±3.8% / ±5.8% / ±9.0% (7/14/28d).
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: All Car Sales (r=+0.76), Advance Retail Sales (r=+0.73), BoE Consumer Credit (r=+0.70)
Inversely correlated: Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air (r=-0.92), PCE Price Index MoM (r=-0.86), ISM Manufacturing New Orders (r=-0.77), CPI Food at Home (r=-0.77), Financial Activities Payrolls (r=-0.75)
As of August 5, 2026, UPS is trading at 107.68. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this stock generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
Market-data read
United Parcel Service, Inc. (UPS) is a publicly traded stock covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The UPS stock closed at 107.68 on August 5, 2026, reflecting a decline of 1.30% from the previous close of 109.10. UPS is listed on the BVS in Chile.
Over the past 30 days, the stock has experienced a modest uptrend with a rally of 1.47%, ranging between 102.83 and 118.42. The price currently trades below its 20-day moving average of 111.40. The 14-day RSI stands at 46.1, in neutral territory, indicating balanced momentum.
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 2.08%, reflecting typical price variability for this stock. Across the past 52 weeks, the stock has traded between 82.0000 and 122.41, with the current price near the midrange of that range.
Daily-return volatility of 2.08% runs elevated for this stock, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. UPS is currently trading 3.34% below its 20-day moving average and sitting in the middle of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 46.1, currently in neutral territory.
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Aug 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.