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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
UkraineUkraine Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to -0.6% in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
Ukraine Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to -0.6% in May 2026, released June 2026, down 2.7% from April's 2.1% reading.
Latest Release
-0.600000
Actual
—
Consensus
2.100000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Watch | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Watch | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Watch | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Watch | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Ukraine) was reported at -0.6% in June 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 1.73%, up from the prior three at 0.97%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - UA
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Ukraine
DEFINITION
Ukraine's Gross Domestic Product YoY contracted by -0.600000% in June 2026, a decline from May's -0.500000% and a sharp reversal from March's 2.800000%. This marks a continued economic contraction after recent modest growth earlier in the year. Market focus will remain on upcoming data releases and central bank responses amid ongoing economic challenges. Updated 6/11/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2025): actual -0.6 %. Prior reading (Oct 2025): -0.5 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 2.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.