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Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Containment = share of graded forecast-days the 60% band held; its 95% interval counts independent windows only (n_eff, non-overlapping, stride = horizon) — per-symbol audit; static backtest copy where the audit has no n_eff yet. Magnitude only, not a directional record.
6 of 7 models in band
± 9.28% expected move
backtest — refresh paused (#568)
Actionable · size by band. The validated edge is magnitude, not direction.
Timeframes diverge — no single coherent trend.
Context, not a trade signal · forward test pending.
Descriptive — does not size the band.
TRX/TRY's calibrated band puts the expected move at ±6.6% over 7 days, widening to ±13.0% over 28.
Sigmacast expected range · containment-audited · early record · 87.2% (109 forecast-days · n_eff=8 independent windows) · CI 53–98% · as of 1 Nov 2026 → full record
Across 109 graded 14-day forecast-days since 11 Jun 2026 (8 independent windows), TRX/TRY's expected-range band contained price 87.2% of the time (95% CI 53–98%; stated rate: 80%).
As of November 2, 2026, TRX/TRY is trading at 15.76. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this cryptocurrency generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
TRX/TRY is a digital asset listed on 4 exchanges in our coverage. The TRX/TRY asset closed at 15.7640 on November 2, 2026, reflecting a gain of 1.04% from the previous close of 15.6020.
Over the past 30 days, the asset has experienced a modest downtrend with a decline of 4.35%, ranging between 14.9500 and 18.1710. The price currently trades below its 20-day moving average of 16.3106. The 14-day RSI stands at 43.8, in neutral territory, indicating balanced momentum.
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 2.46%, reflecting typical price variability for this asset. Over the past 52 weeks, TRX/TRY traded between 10.1000 (Feb 2, 2026) and 18.1710 (Oct 29, 2026); the current price sits 13.2% below the 52-week high.
Daily-return volatility of 2.46% is subdued for this asset, leaving recent ranges compressed — watch for a decisive break of the band as the more telling development. TRX/TRY is currently trading 3.35% below its 20-day moving average and sitting in the middle of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 43.8, currently in neutral territory.
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: BoJ Interest Rate Decision (JP) (r=+0.99), Manufacturing PMI (KR) (r=+0.97), CPI (CO) (r=+0.96), Jibun Bank Manufacturing PMI (JP) (r=+0.94)
Inversely correlated: CPI (NA) (r=-0.96), Interest Rate Decision (TH) (r=-0.96), M3 Money Supply (TW) (r=-0.92), BBA Mortgage Rate (UK) (r=-0.91)
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Nov 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.