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Factory Orders ex Transportation held to 1.6 in March 2026. The print exceeded the 0.7 consensus by 0.9. Factory Orders ex Transportation has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Factory Orders ex Transportation averaged 0.67, vs 0.07 in the prior 3-month window. Factory Orders ex Transportation is now the highest in 38 months.
The May 2026 reading was unchanged from the previous value of 1.6. Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC) and positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP).
Multi-horizon symbol forecasts, Rolling-Surprise economic predictions, and programmatic API access.
Expected Zones · Trade Bias · Confidence Intervals · API Access · 1,456+ instruments
| Monday, May 11, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:00 | Existing Home Sales MoM | 0.2 | -2.9 | 2.1 | 0.38 | Medium | |
| 14:00 | Existing Home Sales | 4.02 | 4.01 | 4.05 | 3.97 | High | |
| Tuesday, May 12, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 10:00 | NFIB Business Optimism Index | 95.9 | 95.8 | 96.1 | 95.92 | Low | |
| 12:30 | CPI s.a | 332.407 | 330.293 | 331.9 | 332.15 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.35 | High | |
| 12:30 | CPI | 333.02 | 330.21 | 332.3 | 332.66 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.8 | 3.3 | 3.7 | 3.75 | High | |
| 12:30 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.6 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.60 | High | |
| 12:30 | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.75 | High | |
| 12:30 | CPI MoM | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.35 | High | |
| 12:30 | CPI YoY | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.7 | 2.75 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | Monthly Budget Statement | 215 | -164 | 220 | 217.50 | Medium | |
| 18:00 | Budget Balance | 215 | -164 | 157.2 | 171.55 | Medium | |
| Wednesday, May 13, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY | 3.6 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index | 154.006 | 154.6 | 154.60 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI MoM | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Medium | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.50 | High | ||
| 12:30 | Core PPI YoY | 3.8 | 4.3 | 4.30 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | Producer Price Index YoY | 4 | 4.9 | 4.90 | Low | ||
| 12:30 | PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade MoM | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.30 | Low | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | -2.504 | -2.55 | -2.55 | Medium | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -2.314 | -1.6 | -1.60 | Medium | ||
| 14:30 | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | -1.294 | -2.99 | -2.99 | Low | ||