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Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.
Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone
Forecast batch: 8/8/26
USD/ALL's band is still building its audit record. Sigmacast's calibrated band is sized from realized volatility and graded against every terminal close as its audit record builds. Horizon grades appear as each one's history matures — current status is below.
Market-data read
USD/ALL screens momentum-down across horizons. The 7- and 14-day paths both track lower (ER 0.99 / 0.72) — a consistent, low-noise downtrend rather than chop. Term-structure band: ±0.9% / ±1.2% / ±1.7% (7/14/28d).
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: Composite Economic Index MoM (r=+0.96), CPI Rent of Primary Residence (r=+0.94)
Inversely correlated: Bundesanleihe Auction (r=-0.98), 12-Month Letras Auction (r=-0.92), CPI YoY (r=-0.92), JOLTs Job Quits (r=-0.91), Construction Output YoY (r=-0.90), Gross Domestic Product YoY (r=-0.89)
As of August 9, 2026, USD/ALL is trading at 80.6417. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this forex pair generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
Market-data read
The USD/ALL forex pair tracks the exchange rate between the US Dollar and the Albanian Lek. The USD/ALL pair closed at 80.6417 on August 9, 2026, reflecting a gain of 0.00% from the previous close of 80.6401.
Over the past 30 days, the pair has experienced a modest downtrend with a decline of 1.82%, ranging between 80.4902 and 82.9381. The price currently trades below its 20-day moving average of 81.5560. The 14-day RSI stands at 25.8, in oversold territory.
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 0.27%, reflecting subdued price variability for this pair. Across the past 52 weeks, the pair has traded between 80.3142 and 84.1222, with the current price near the low end of that range.
Daily-return volatility of 0.27% is subdued for this pair, leaving recent ranges compressed — watch for a decisive break of the band as the more telling development. USD/ALL is currently trading 1.12% below its 20-day moving average and sitting in the lower portion of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 25.8, currently in oversold territory.
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Aug 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.