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Austria Bundesanleihe Auction held to 2.81 in November 2025, released December 2025.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.98 | FOREX | Bearish EUR | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.89 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.83 | FOREX | Bearish GBP | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Bundesanleihe Auction (Austria) was reported at 2.81 in December 2025. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through December 2025. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.89, ranging from 2.70 to 3.01 across 6 releases.
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.90, up from the prior three at 2.88. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.11) is lower than the prior year (σ 0.33).
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, positively correlated (Bullish USD).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update December 2025.
The Bundesanleihe Auction is a key financial indicator used to measure the demand for German government bonds. It is a public auction where the German government offers new bonds for sale to investors, with the goal of raising funds for government spending. The results of the auction, including the interest rate and amount of bonds sold, provide valuable insights into the strength of the German economy and investor confidence in the country's financial stability. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and investors as it can impact interest rates, currency values, and overall market sentiment.
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Dec 2025): actual 2.807 %. Prior reading (Nov 2025): 2.891 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 2.997 %.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.98) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Wednesday, June 17, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | HICP YoY | 3.7 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | ||
| 07:00 | CPI YoY | 3.51 | 3.7 | 3.75 | Low | ||
| 07:00 | CPI MoM | 0.39 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | ||
| 07:00 | HICP MoM | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | ||
| 07:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | ||
| 07:00 | Inflation Rate MoM | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | ||
| 07:00 | Inflation Rate YoY | 3.4 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Low | ||
| 07:00 | Harmonised Inflation Rate MoM | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.10 | Low | ||