Loading page content
Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.
Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone
Forecast batch: 9/14/26
USD/LRD's calibrated band puts the expected move at ±3.4% over 7 days, widening to ±6.5% over 28. Each horizon's current status is below.
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: Composite Economic Index MoM (r=+0.96), CPI Shelter (r=+0.92), Budget Balance (r=+0.88)
Inversely correlated: Bundesanleihe Auction (r=-0.98), Overnight Lending Rate (r=-0.96), Overnight Borrowing Rate (r=-0.96), Construction Output YoY (r=-0.90), Gross Domestic Product YoY (r=-0.89)
As of September 14, 2026, USD/LRD is trading at 174.4011. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this forex pair generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
The USD/LRD forex pair tracks the exchange rate between the US Dollar and the Liberian Dollar. The USD/LRD pair closed at 174.40 on September 14, 2026, reflecting a decline of 0.10% from the previous close of 174.58.
Over the past 30 days, the pair has experienced a modest downtrend with a decline of 3.94%, ranging between 171.84 and 183.06. The price currently trades below its 20-day moving average of 177.70. The 14-day RSI stands at 37.1, in the lower part of its range.
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 0.89%, reflecting subdued price variability for this pair. Across the past 52 weeks, the pair has traded between 171.84 and 188.11, with the current price near the low end of that range.
Daily-return volatility of 0.89% runs elevated for this pair, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. USD/LRD is currently trading 1.86% below its 20-day moving average and sitting in the lower portion of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 37.1, currently in neutral territory.
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Sep 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.