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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
RussiaRussia Russian Forex Intervention climbed to 279.4B in September 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Russia Russian Forex Intervention climbed to 279.4B in September 2026, released October 2026, up 223.8B from August's 55.6B reading.
Latest Release
279.400000
Actual
—
Consensus
55.600000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.91 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.44 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.34 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Russian Forex Intervention (Russia) was reported at 279.40 billion in October 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 55.60 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 46.64 billion, ranging from -226.80 billion to 279.40 billion across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 157.07 billion, up from the prior three at -47.33 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 166.69 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 38.07 billion).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 5, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include S&P Global Manufacturing PMI (Nov 2) and GDP Growth Rate YoY (Nov 13).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Russian Forex Intervention - RU
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About Russian Forex Intervention — Russia
DEFINITION
Russia’s Russian Forex Intervention surged to 279.400000 billion RUB in October, sharply exceeding September’s 55.600000 billion RUB. This marks a significant increase in intervention activity, indicating a strong shift in currency market operations. Market participants will closely watch upcoming central bank moves amid this heightened intervention. Updated 10/5/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Oct 2026): actual 279.4 B. Prior reading (Sep 2026): 55.6 B. Before that (Aug 2026): 136.2 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.91) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - RU Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | RU | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 49.8 | 50 | 50.10 | Medium | |
| Thursday, November 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 06:00 | RU | S&P Global Composite PMI | 50.8 | 50.7 | 51.00 | Low | |
| 06:00 | RU | S&P Global Services PMI | 51.3 | 51.1 | 51.45 | Low | |