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Russia Russian Forex Intervention fell to 55.6B in August 2026, released September 2026, down 80.6B from July's 136.2B reading.
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.78 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.65 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.56 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.28 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
Russian Forex Intervention (Russia) was reported at 55.60 billion in September 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 136.20 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through September 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 4.74 billion, ranging from -226.80 billion to 208.20 billion across 7 releases.
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 133.33 billion, up from the prior three at -117.63 billion. Volatility over the past year (σ 137.16 billion) is higher than the prior year (σ 39.15 billion).
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR). A secondary relationship exists with BTC/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish BTC).
The next release is scheduled for October 5, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Sep 30) and Gross Domestic Product YoY (Sep 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update September 2026.
Russia's Forex Intervention in August registered 55.600000 billion RUB, down sharply from July's 136.200000 billion RUB. This decline signals a significant reduction in intervention activity compared to the previous month. Market participants will watch for further central bank moves amid this marked slowdown. Updated 9/3/26
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 55.6 B. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 136.2 B. Before that (Jun 2026): 208.2 B.
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with EUR/USD (Bearish EUR, r=-0.78) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16:00 | Producer Price Index YoY | 6.5 | 6.6 | 4.5 | 5.50 | Low | |
| 16:00 | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.9 | -2.5 | -0.9 | 0.00 | Low | |