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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LatviaLatvia Trade Balance climbed to 230M in September 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2025
Latvia Trade Balance climbed to 230M in September 2025, released October 2025, up 744.2M from August's -514.2M reading.
Latest Release
230.000000
Actual
—
Consensus
-514.200000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Trade Balance (Latvia) was reported at 230.00 million in October 2025. The reading rose from the previous value of -514.20 million. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2025.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -249.57 million, up from the prior three at -280.50 million.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2025.
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Trade Balance - LV
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About Trade Balance — Latvia
DEFINITION
Trade balance is a financial indicator that measures the difference between a country's exports and imports of goods and services. It is an important measure of a country's economic health and can indicate whether a country is a net importer or exporter. A positive trade balance indicates that a country is exporting more than it is importing, while a negative trade balance indicates the opposite. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and policymakers as it can impact a country's currency value, inflation, and overall economic growth.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2025): actual 230 M. Prior reading (Jul 2025): -514.2 M. Before that (Jun 2025): -464.5 M.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bearish GBP, r=-0.55) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.