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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
SerbiaSerbia CPI YoY fell to 2.7% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Serbia CPI YoY fell to 2.7% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.8% from May's 3.5% reading. The print came in cooler than the 3.6% consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 3.2%.
Latest Release
2.7
Actual
3.6
Consensus
3.5
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI YoY (Serbia) was reported at 2.7% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 3.6% by 0.9%. The reading fell from the previous value of 3.5%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 12, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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CPI YoY - RS
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About CPI YoY — Serbia
DEFINITION
Serbia's CPI YoY came in at 2.700000% for June, missing the 3.600000% estimate and down from May's 3.500000%. This marks a continued deceleration in inflation, easing from May's higher reading. Market focus now shifts to upcoming monetary policy decisions amid this cooling price pressure. Updated 7/13/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 2.7 %, consensus 3.6 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 3.5 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 3.3 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - RS Events
| Wednesday, August 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10:00 | RS | Producer Price Index YoY | 7 | 6.5 | 7.40 | Low | |