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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia CPI YoY held to 1.8% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Saudi Arabia CPI YoY held to 1.8% in June 2026, released July 2026. The print came in cooler than the 1.9% consensus, a softer print than forecasters anticipated. Over the past 3 months, CPI YoY averaged 1.77%, vs 1.75% in the prior 3-month window.
Latest Release
1.8
Actual
1.9
Consensus
1.8
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.07 percentage points
across last 3 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 1.88
Actual: 1.8
Error: +0.07
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.30 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI YoY (Saudi Arabia) was reported at 1.8% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 1.9% by 0.1%. The reading was unchanged from the previous release. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Watch). A secondary relationship exists with USD/JPY, negatively correlated (Watch).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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CPI YoY - SA
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About CPI YoY — Saudi Arabia
DEFINITION
Saudi Arabia's CPI YoY for June came in at 1.800000%, matching the previous reading and missing the 1.900000% estimate. June's 1.800000% held steady from May's 1.800000%, indicating stable inflation pressures year-over-year. Market focus remains on upcoming economic data and central bank signals amid this steady inflation backdrop. Updated 7/15/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 1.8 %, consensus 1.9 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 1.8 %. Before that (May 2026): 1.8 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - SA Events
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05:00 | SA | Bank Lending YoY | 6.8 | 6.6 | 7.1 | 6.95 | Low |
| Tuesday, August 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 04:15 | SA | PMI | 53.3 | 53 | 53.75 | Low | |