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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Saudi ArabiaSaudi Arabia Private sector loans fell to 9.6% in January 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased February 2026
Saudi Arabia Private sector loans fell to 9.6% in January 2026, released February 2026, down 0.6% from December's 10.2% reading.
Latest Release
9.600000
Actual
—
Consensus
10.200000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.67 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.29 | FOREX | Bullish EUR | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.28 | FOREX | Bullish GBP | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Private sector loans (Saudi Arabia) was reported at 9.6% in February 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 10.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through February 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 12.62%, ranging from 9.6% to 17.6% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 10.13%, down from the prior three at 12.73%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update February 2026.
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Private sector loans - SA
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About Private sector loans — Saudi Arabia
DEFINITION
Private sector loans refer to loans that are issued by private financial institutions, such as banks and credit unions, to individuals and businesses. These loans are not backed by the government and typically have higher interest rates compared to government-backed loans. Private sector loans are an important indicator of the overall health of the economy, as they reflect the level of borrowing and investment activity in the private sector. They can also provide insight into consumer and business confidence, as well as potential risks in the financial system.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 9.6 %. Prior reading (Dec 2025): 10.2 %. Before that (Nov 2025): 10.6 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC, r=0.67) — a useful reference for crypto-focused traders.