WTI Crude Futures (CL1) Commodity Forecast — Price & Market Analysis
CL1
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— insufficient model data
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backtest — refresh paused (#568)
Actionable · size by band. The validated edge is magnitude, not direction.
Timeframes diverge — no single coherent trend.
Context, not a trade signal · forward test pending.
Descriptive — does not size the band.
Sigmacast expected range · containment-audited.
Containment record withheld on 2 Nov 2026 (DC-001): commodity price bars carry Australia/Sydney local timestamps stored as UTC, so graded outcomes were computed against misdated bars. It returns when the timestamp fix lands and the rows re-settle.
As of November 5, 2026, CL1 is trading at . Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this commodity generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
SETUP
Crude Oil Futures (CL1) is a commodity instrument tracked by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The CL1 commodity closed at 89.3495 on November 5, 2026, reflecting a decline of 5.54% from the previous close of 94.5924.
WHAT'S DRIVING IT
Over the past 30 days, the commodity has experienced a modest downtrend with a decline of 0.90%, ranging between 86.6341 and 105.05. The price currently trades below its 20-day moving average of 100.33. The 14-day RSI stands at 32.2, in the lower part of its range.
THE RISK
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 2.19%, reflecting typical price variability for this commodity. Over the past 52 weeks, CL1 traded between 54.9700 (Dec 17, 2025) and 119.47 (Mar 9, 2026); the current price sits 25.2% below the 52-week high.
WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT
Daily-return volatility of 2.19% runs elevated for this commodity, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. CL1 is currently trading 10.94% below its 20-day moving average and sitting in the middle of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 32.2, currently in neutral territory.
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: Total Vehicle Sales (US) (r=+0.83), ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders (US) (r=+0.75), Crude Oil Production (Monthly) (US) (r=+0.75), BoE Consumer Credit (US) (r=+0.72)
Inversely correlated: Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index (US) (r=-0.81), PPI Final Demand Ex Food Energy Trade (US) (r=-0.76), Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air (US) (r=-0.75), Producer Price Index MoM (US) (r=-0.71)
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Nov 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.