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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
United StatesUS ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders climbed to 57.3 in May 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased June 2026
US ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders climbed to 57.3 in May 2026, released June 2026, up 3.8 from April's 53.5 reading. The print exceeded the 53.4 consensus by 3.9.
Latest Release
57.300000
Actual
53.400000
Consensus
53.500000
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±3.9
across last 9 releases
Last Call
Jun 2026
Predicted: 53.4
Actual: 57.3
Error: -3.9
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOOGL | ▲ Direct | +0.57 | STOCKS | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.57 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| USD/CAD | ▲ Direct | +0.57 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/CHF | ▲ Direct | +0.50 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| GBP/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.45 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders (United States) was reported at 57.30 in June 2026. This beat the market consensus of 53.40 by 3.90. The reading rose from the previous value of 53.50. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through June 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 54.74, ranging from 50.30 to 58.60 across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 56.33, up from the prior three at 55.67.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GOOGL (Bullish GOOGL). A secondary relationship exists with XAU/USD, negatively correlated (Bearish XAU). Over the last 9 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 3.90.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 5, 2026. Same-country events in the next 14 days include Personal Income MoM (Jul 30) and PCE Price Index MoM (Jul 30).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update June 2026.
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ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders - US
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About ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders — United States
DEFINITION
The ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders is a key financial indicator that measures the level of new orders placed in the non-manufacturing sector of the economy. This includes industries such as healthcare, retail, and transportation. It provides valuable insights into the overall health and growth of the non-manufacturing sector, which accounts for a significant portion of the country's economic activity. Investors and analysts closely monitor this indicator as it can signal potential changes in consumer demand and economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Sentiment surveys are forward-looking inputs that often lead hard data on output and hiring. Sharp swings can drive cross-asset repricing. Surprises against consensus can drive short-term moves, particularly when the print breaks an established trend. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (May 2026): actual 57.3, consensus 53.4. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 53.5. Before that (Mar 2026): 60.6.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GOOGL (Bullish GOOGL, r=0.57) — a useful reference for stocks-focused traders.
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Economic Calendar - US Events
| Wednesday, July 29, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14:30 | US | EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change | -7.167 | 2.011 | -1.3 | -4.23 | Medium |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Gasoline Stocks Change | 0.007 | 0.765 | -0.7 | -0.35 | Medium |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Distillate Stocks Change | 1.062 | 1.395 | 0.2 | 0.63 | Low |
| 18:00 | US | Fed Interest Rate Decision | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | 3.75 | High |
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 12:30 | US | Personal Income MoM | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.45 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Price Index MoM | 0.4 | -0.1 | -0.10 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Prices QoQ | 4.6 | 4 | 4.70 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Initial Jobless Claims | 187 | 200 | 187.00 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Real Consumer Spending QoQ | 0.5 | 0.4 | -0.10 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | PCE Price Index YoY | 4.1 | 3.7 | 3.70 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 2.1 | 2.1 | 1.95 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Continuing Jobless Claims | 1796 | 1800 | 1782.50 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 2.1 | 2.3 | 2.20 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | Jobless Claims 4-Week Average | 207.5 | 210 | 203.75 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index MoM | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.20 | High | |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Sales QoQ | 1.9 | 1.4 | 1.85 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Price Index YoY | 3.4 | 3.3 | 3.30 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | Core PCE Prices QoQ | 4.4 | 3.5 | 3.60 | Low | |
| 12:30 | US | GDP Price Index QoQ | 3.6 | 3.6 | 3.95 | Medium | |
| 12:30 | US | Personal Spending MoM | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.30 | High | |
| 14:30 | US | EIA Natural Gas Stocks Change | 32 | 37 | 36.50 | Low | |