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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Czech RepublicCzech Republic Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 2.0% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Czech Republic Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 2.0% in April 2026, released July 2026, down 0.2% from March's 2.2% reading. The reading missed the 2.2% consensus by 0.2%. The print is running well below the 12-month average of 2.51%. Over the past 3 months, Gross Domestic Product YoY averaged 2.2%, vs 2.47% in the prior 3-month window. Gross Domestic Product YoY is now the lowest in 15 months.
Latest Release
2
Actual
2.2
Consensus
2.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.13 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 2.23
Actual: 2
Error: +0.23
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Czech Republic) was reported at 2% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 2.2% by 0.2%. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.51%, ranging from 2% to 2.8% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 2.13%, down from the prior three at 2.57%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.26%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.25%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with XAU/USD (Bullish XAU). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.13%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - CZ
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Czech Republic
DEFINITION
Czech Republic's Gross Domestic Product YoY came in at 2.000000% for July, missing the 2.200000% estimate and down from June's 2.200000%. This marks a continued slowdown from May's 2.2% and April's 2.1%, indicating a deceleration in economic growth. Market participants will watch upcoming data for further signs of momentum amid this easing trend. Updated 7/30/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 2 %, consensus 2.2 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 2.2 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 2.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - CZ Events
| Thursday, July 30, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | CZ | GDP Growth Rate YoY | 2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.10 | Low |
| 07:00 | CZ | GDP Growth Rate QoQ | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.45 | Low |
| 07:00 | CZ | Gross Domestic Product QoQ | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.45 | Low |
| 07:00 | CZ | Gross Domestic Product YoY | 2 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 2.10 | Low |
| Friday, July 31, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | CZ | M3 Money Supply YoY | 6.3 | 5.3 | 4.8 | 5.55 | Low |