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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
Czech RepublicCzech Republic Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 1.9% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Czech Republic Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 1.9% in April 2026, released August 2026, down 0.3% from March's 2.2% reading. The print exceeded the 0.4% consensus by 1.5%. Gross Domestic Product YoY has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, Gross Domestic Product YoY averaged 2.1%, vs 2.4% in the prior 3-month window. Gross Domestic Product YoY is now the lowest in 16 months.
Latest Release
1.9
Actual
0.4
Consensus
2.2
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.13 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 0.35
Actual: 1.9
Error: -1.55
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.38 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| FTSE 100 | ▲ Direct | +0.26 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Czech Republic) was reported at 1.9% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.4% by 1.5%. The reading fell from the previous value of 2.2%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.45%, ranging from 1.9% to 2.8% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.03%, down from the prior three at 2.5%. Volatility over the past year (σ 0.31%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 0.29%).
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with BTC/USD (Bullish BTC). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.13%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - CZ
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Czech Republic
DEFINITION
Czech Republic's Gross Domestic Product YoY for July came in at 1.900000%, missing the 0.400000% estimate and down from June's 2.200000%. This marks a continued slowdown in economic growth compared to the previous month. Market participants will watch upcoming data for further signs of momentum amid this deceleration. Updated 8/28/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 1.9 %, consensus 0.4 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 2 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 2.2 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - CZ Events
| Wednesday, September 16, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07:00 | CZ | Producer Price Index MoM | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.3 | 0.35 | Low |
| 07:00 | CZ | Producer Price Index YoY | 2 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.90 | Low |