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Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.
Forecast data unavailable for this horizon.
— insufficient model data
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backtest — refresh paused (#568)
Actionable · size by band. The validated edge is magnitude, not direction.
Timeframes diverge — no single coherent trend.
Context, not a trade signal · forward test pending.
Descriptive — does not size the band.
Sigmacast expected range · containment-audited · 87.7% over 81 windows → full record
Across 81 graded 14-day windows since 27 Jul 2026, USD/BWP's expected-range band contained price 87.7% of the time (stated rate: 80%).
As of October 30, 2026, USD/BWP is trading at 13.7891. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this forex pair generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
The USD/BWP forex pair tracks the exchange rate between the US Dollar and the Botswana Pula. The USD/BWP pair closed at 13.7891 on October 30, 2026, reflecting a decline of 0.05% from the previous close of 13.7965.
Over the past 30 days, the pair has experienced a modest downtrend with a decline of 2.53%, ranging between 13.1098 and 14.4035. The price currently trades above its 20-day moving average of 13.7437. The 14-day RSI stands at 53.0, in neutral territory, indicating balanced momentum.
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 0.76%, reflecting subdued price variability for this pair. Over the past 52 weeks, USD/BWP traded between 12.7744 (Dec 23, 2025) and 14.7766 (Jul 22, 2026); the current price sits 6.7% below the 52-week high.
Daily-return volatility of 0.76% runs elevated for this pair, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. USD/BWP is currently trading 0.33% above its 20-day moving average and sitting in the middle of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 53.0, currently in neutral territory.
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: Composite Economic Index MoM (IL) (r=+0.96), Budget Balance (IL) (r=+0.92)
Inversely correlated: Bundesanleihe Auction (AT) (r=-0.98), Russian Forex Intervention (RU) (r=-0.91), Interest Rate Decision (AO) (r=-0.91), Gross Domestic Product YoY (SA) (r=-0.89), Interest Rate Decision (AZ) (r=-0.89), Business Confidence (RU) (r=-0.88)
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Oct 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.