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Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.
Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone
Forecast batch: 9/14/26
USD/UGX's calibrated band puts the expected move at ±1.0% over 7 days, widening to ±1.8% over 28. Each horizon's current status is below.
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: Composite Economic Index MoM (r=+0.96), CPI Shelter (r=+0.92), Budget Balance (r=+0.88)
Inversely correlated: Bundesanleihe Auction (r=-0.98), Overnight Lending Rate (r=-0.96), Overnight Borrowing Rate (r=-0.96), Construction Output YoY (r=-0.90), Gross Domestic Product YoY (r=-0.89)
As of September 15, 2026, USD/UGX is trading at 3899.3330. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this forex pair generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
The USD/UGX forex pair tracks the exchange rate between the US Dollar and the Ugandan Shilling. The USD/UGX pair closed at 3,899.33 on September 15, 2026, reflecting a gain of 0.07% from the previous close of 3,896.62.
Over the past 30 days, the pair has experienced a modest uptrend with a rally of 4.80%, ranging between 3,705.30 and 3,916.60. The price currently trades above its 20-day moving average of 3,805.47. The 14-day RSI stands at 90.1, in overbought territory.
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 0.30%, reflecting subdued price variability for this pair. Across the past 52 weeks, the pair has traded between 3,434.60 and 3,916.60, with the current price near the high end of that range.
Daily-return volatility of 0.30% is subdued for this pair, leaving recent ranges compressed — watch for a decisive break of the band as the more telling development. USD/UGX is currently trading 2.47% above its 20-day moving average and sitting in the upper portion of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 90.1, currently in overbought territory.
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Sep 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.