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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
LithuaniaLithuania CPI fell to 152.79 in March 2024
FMPMonthlyReleased April 2024
Lithuania CPI fell to 152.79 in March 2024, released April 2024, down 0.29 from February's 153.08 reading. The reading matched expectations. Over the past 3 months, CPI averaged 152.54, vs 152.31 in the prior 3-month window. The reading is in the 78th percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
152.79
Actual
153
Consensus
153.08
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.25
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Apr 2024
Predicted: 153.04
Actual: 152.79
Error: +0.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
CPI (Lithuania) was reported at 3.6% in March 2026. The reading rose from the previous value of 3.1%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through March 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 2.11%, ranging from -0.1% to 4% across 9 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending upward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 2.2%, up from the prior three at 0.3%. In March readings over the past 3 years, CPI has averaged 52.43%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/JPY (Bullish USD). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 0.25%.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update March 2026.
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CPI - LT
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About CPI — Lithuania
DEFINITION
CPI, or Consumer Price Index, is a widely used economic indicator that measures the average change in prices of goods and services purchased by households. It is an important tool for assessing inflation and the overall cost of living for consumers. The CPI is calculated by tracking the prices of a basket of goods and services over time, providing valuable insights into the current state of the economy and its impact on consumers. This indicator is closely monitored by policymakers, businesses, and investors to make informed decisions about economic trends and financial strategies.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Feb 2026): actual 1.1 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 3.1 %. Before that (Dec 2025): -0.1 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.