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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
NetherlandsNetherlands Trade Balance fell to 7.74B in September 2025
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2025
Netherlands Trade Balance fell to 7.74B in September 2025, released October 2025, down 1.15B from August's 8.89B reading.
Latest Release
7.740000
Actual
—
Consensus
8.890000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
THE RELEASE
Trade Balance (Netherlands) was reported at 7.74 billion in October 2025. The reading fell from the previous value of 8.89 billion. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2025.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases. The trailing three releases averaged 8.84 billion, down from the prior three at 10.71 billion.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Unemployment Rate (Jun 18) and Consumer Confidence (Jun 19).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2025.
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Trade Balance - NL
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About Trade Balance — Netherlands
DEFINITION
Trade balance is a financial indicator that measures the difference between a country's exports and imports of goods and services. It is an important measure of a country's economic health and can indicate whether a country is a net importer or exporter. A positive trade balance indicates that a country is exporting more than it is importing, while a negative trade balance indicates the opposite. This indicator is closely monitored by economists and policymakers as it can impact a country's currency value, inflation, and overall economic growth.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Trade-balance and tariff data inform exchange-rate fundamentals and feed directly into GDP via the net-exports channel. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2025): actual 7.74 B. Prior reading (Jul 2025): 8.52 B. Before that (Jun 2025): 10.25 B.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.