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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
RomaniaRomania CPI YoY fell to 10.4% in June 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased July 2026
Romania CPI YoY fell to 10.4% in June 2026, released July 2026, down 0.5% from May's 10.9% reading. The reading matched expectations.
Latest Release
10.4
Actual
10.6
Consensus
10.9
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.1 percentage points
across last 3 releases
Last Call
Jul 2026
Predicted: 10.63
Actual: 10.4
Error: +0.22
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI YoY (Romania) was reported at 10.4% in July 2026. This missed the market consensus of 10.6% by 0.2%. The reading fell from the previous value of 10.9%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through July 2026.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for August 12, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update July 2026.
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CPI YoY - RO
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About CPI YoY — Romania
DEFINITION
Romania's CPI YoY for June came in at 10.400000%, missing the 10.600000% estimate and down from May's 10.900000%. This marks a continued deceleration in inflation, signaling easing price pressures after several months of elevated readings. Market focus now shifts to upcoming monetary policy decisions amid this cooling trend. Updated 7/13/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jun 2026): actual 10.4 %, consensus 10.6 %. Prior reading (May 2026): 10.9 %. Before that (Apr 2026): 10.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook diverging from that direction. The 1-month and 3-month horizons disagree, suggesting a mixed signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - RO Events
| Tuesday, August 4, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 | RO | Producer Price Index YoY | 12.05 | 11.4 | 12.53 | Low | |