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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
RomaniaRomania CPI YoY fell to 8.2% in July 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Romania CPI YoY fell to 8.2% in July 2026, released August 2026, down 2.2% from June's 10.4% reading. The reading matched expectations. CPI YoY has now declined for 3 consecutive months. Over the past 3 months, CPI YoY averaged 10.65%, vs 10.17% in the prior 3-month window.
Latest Release
8.2
Actual
7.9
Consensus
10.4
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±0.16 percentage points
across last 4 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 7.88
Actual: 8.2
Error: -0.32
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | INDEX | Moves with | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▲ Direct | +0.30 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
CPI YoY (Romania) was reported at 8.2% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 7.9% by 0.3%. The reading fell from the previous value of 10.4%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026.
WHY IT MATTERS
The indicator has been trending downward over the last three releases.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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CPI YoY - RO
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About CPI YoY — Romania
DEFINITION
Romania's CPI YoY for August came in at 8.200000%, missing the estimate of 7.900000% but down sharply from July's 10.400000%. This marks a continued deceleration in inflation, signaling easing price pressures after the peak in June at 10.9%. Market focus will remain on upcoming central bank decisions amid this cooling inflation trend. Updated 8/12/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Inflation prints feed directly into central-bank policy expectations and real-yield calculations, and are among the most rate-sensitive releases on the calendar. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jul 2026): actual 8.2 %, consensus 7.9 %. Prior reading (Jun 2026): 10.4 %. Before that (May 2026): 10.9 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection.
Σ
EXPECTED ZONE
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