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Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.
Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone
Cheap vol watchForecast batch: 9/20/26
Premium grade: 2026-09-20 05:02 UTC
DLTR's calibrated band puts the expected move at ±4.2% over 7 days, widening to ±9.8% over 28. Options are currently pricing below the band (VRP ≈ 0.79×) — premium screens cheap on this scale. All three horizons are graded on the same premium scale — where each one landed is below.
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: Total Vehicle Sales (r=+0.88), All Car Sales (r=+0.75), Labor Force Participation Rate (r=+0.73)
Inversely correlated: Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air (r=-0.89), Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index (r=-0.81), Producer Price Index (r=-0.74), PCE Price Index MoM (r=-0.73), 5-Year Note Auction (r=-0.72)
As of September 20, 2026, DLTR is trading at 112.01. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this stock generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
Dollar Tree Inc. (DLTR) is a publicly traded stock covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The DLTR stock closed at 112.01 on September 18, 2026, reflecting a decline of 2.11% from the previous close of 114.43. DLTR is listed on the BMV in Mexico.
Over the past 30 days, the stock has experienced a strong downtrend with a decline of 14.42%, ranging between 111.43 and 137.07. The price currently trades below its 20-day moving average of 124.64. The 14-day RSI stands at 32.2, in the lower part of its range.
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 2.32%, reflecting typical price variability for this stock. Across the past 52 weeks, the stock has traded between 84.7100 and 142.40, with the current price near the midrange of that range.
Daily-return volatility of 2.32% runs elevated for this stock, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. DLTR is currently trading 10.13% below its 20-day moving average and sitting in the middle of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 32.2, currently in neutral territory.
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Sep 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.