MKC Stock Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

MKC

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Current Price

November 05, 2026
Market Closed
50.49
Actual
October 05, 2026
+10.85%
45.55
1 Month Ago
November 05, 2025
-21.79%
64.56
1 Year Ago
52W HIGH
72.41
· Feb 13, 2026
52W LOW
43.25
· Oct 2, 2026
Highest close in our data
104.89
· Sep 2020coverage since 2019

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MKC · STOCKS
14-DAY FORECAST · 11/19/26
EXPECTED MOVE± 6.4%range 47.28 – 53.70 · 14D
33.1341.8150.4959.1767.8595%60.2580%55.7460%53.70invalidation level60%47.28invalidation level80%45.2495%40.73current 50.49−28dtoday+7d+14d+28d

Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)

Upper / lower bound53.70 / 47.28
Outside-range leveloutside 47.28 – 53.70price exits the expected band (either side)
Containmentearly record · 33.8% (80 forecast-days · n_eff=8 independent windows) · CI 12–66%60% band · as of 4 Nov 2026 · n_eff as of 1 Nov 2026 · 80% band: early record · 62.5% (80 forecast-days · n_eff=8 independent windows) · CI 31–86%
Term structure · expected move by horizon

Containment = share of graded forecast-days the 60% band held; its 95% interval counts independent windows only (n_eff, non-overlapping, stride = horizon) — per-symbol audit; static backtest copy where the audit has no n_eff yet. Magnitude only, not a directional record.

Outcome legend
Magnitude · primary
How big was the move vs the forecast band?
+12.4%band-relative outcome efficiency
—efficiency not yet computed for this trade
Zone
Did price stay inside the expected band?
CONTAINEDentry price inside the expected band
BREACHED HIGHentry above the band's upper bound
BREACHED LOWentry below the band's lower bound
Magnitude· primary
MODERATEconviction

5 of 7 models in band

± 6.36% expected move

backtest — refresh paused (#568)

Actionable · size by band. The validated edge is magnitude, not direction.

Alignment· context only
2H up1D sideways1W down

Timeframes diverge — no single coherent trend.

Context, not a trade signal · forward test pending.

Descriptive — does not size the band.

Regime Read· options premium

loading premium read…

Suitability · premium context. Whether options are rich or cheap to own here — sizing input, not a price call.

Expected Range· 7–28d calibrated zone
Forecast batch: 11/4/26
Premium not graded

MKC's calibrated band puts the expected move at ±4.1% over 7 days, widening to ±9.8% over 28.

Premium grade: 2026-11-05 05:06 UTC

Sigmacast expected range · containment-audited · early record · 62.5% (80 forecast-days · n_eff=8 independent windows) · CI 31–86% · as of 4 Nov 2026 · n_eff as of 1 Nov 2026 → full record

Across 80 graded 14-day forecast-days since 11 Jun 2026 (8 independent windows), MKC's expected-range band contained price 62.5% of the time (95% CI 31–86%; stated rate: 80%).

As of November 5, 2026, MKC is trading at 50.49. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this stock generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.

Signal Tracker Record / PerformancePast Performance →

Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.

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SETUP

McCormick & Company, Incorporated Non-Voting Common Stock (MKC) is a publicly traded stock covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The MKC stock closed at 50.4900 on November 4, 2026, reflecting a gain of 5.47% from the previous close of 47.8700. MKC is listed on the NYSE in United States.

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

Over the past 30 days, the stock has experienced a strong uptrend with a rally of 5.59%, ranging between 43.2500 and 51.3150. The price currently trades above its 20-day moving average of 46.8638. The 14-day RSI stands at 61.0, in the upper part of its range.

THE RISK

Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 2.45%, reflecting typical price variability for this stock. Over the past 52 weeks, MKC traded between 43.2500 (Oct 2, 2026) and 72.4100 (Feb 13, 2026); the current price sits 30.3% below the 52-week high.

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Daily-return volatility of 2.45% runs elevated for this stock, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. MKC is currently trading 7.74% above its 20-day moving average and sitting in the lower portion of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 61.0, currently in neutral territory.

Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)

8 correlated indicators

Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.

Positively correlated: Total Vehicle Sales (US) (r=+0.83), ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders (US) (r=+0.75), Crude Oil Production (Monthly) (US) (r=+0.75), BoE Consumer Credit (US) (r=+0.72)

Inversely correlated: Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index (US) (r=-0.81), PPI Final Demand Ex Food Energy Trade (US) (r=-0.76), Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air (US) (r=-0.75), Producer Price Index MoM (US) (r=-0.71)

Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Nov 2026.

Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.