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Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.
Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone
Cheap vol watchForecast batch: 8/14/26
Premium grade: 2026-08-14 05:07 UTC
SW's band is still building its audit record. Sigmacast's calibrated band is sized from realized volatility and graded against every terminal close as its audit record builds. Horizon grades appear as each one's history matures — current status is below.
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: Total Vehicle Sales (r=+0.89), All Car Sales (r=+0.74), Advance Retail Sales (r=+0.73), BoE Consumer Credit (r=+0.70)
Inversely correlated: Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air (r=-0.92), PCE Price Index MoM (r=-0.86), Financial Activities Payrolls (r=-0.75), CPI Food at Home (r=-0.68)
As of August 14, 2026, SW is trading at 49.25. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this stock generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
Smurfit Westrock plc (SW) is a publicly traded stock covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The SW stock closed at 49.2500 on August 14, 2026, reflecting a decline of 1.55% from the previous close of 50.0250. SW is listed on the NYSE in United States.
Over the past 30 days, the stock has experienced a strong uptrend with a rally of 7.91%, ranging between 41.1350 and 51.9900. The price currently trades above its 20-day moving average of 47.5233. The 14-day RSI stands at 57.4, in neutral territory, indicating balanced momentum.
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 3.36%, reflecting heightened price variability for this stock. Across the past 52 weeks, the stock has traded between 32.7290 and 52.6500, with the current price near the high end of that range.
Daily-return volatility of 3.36% runs elevated for this stock, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. SW is currently trading 3.63% above its 20-day moving average and sitting in the upper portion of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 57.4, currently in neutral territory.
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Aug 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.