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Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.
Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone
Cheap vol watchForecast batch: 8/5/26
Market-data read
UNP reads range-bound — no clean directional character at any horizon (ER 0.20 / 0.07 / 0.30). Recent action is directionless chop rather than a trend. Term-structure band: ±2.5% / ±3.9% / ±6.0% (7/14/28d).
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: All Car Sales (r=+0.76), Advance Retail Sales (r=+0.73), BoE Consumer Credit (r=+0.70)
Inversely correlated: Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air (r=-0.92), PCE Price Index MoM (r=-0.86), ISM Manufacturing New Orders (r=-0.77), CPI Food at Home (r=-0.77), Financial Activities Payrolls (r=-0.75)
As of August 5, 2026, UNP is trading at 295.52. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this stock generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
Market-data read
Union Pacific Corporation (UNP) is a publicly traded stock covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The UNP stock closed at 295.52 on August 5, 2026, reflecting a decline of 0.27% from the previous close of 296.32. UNP is listed on the NEO in Canada.
Over the past 30 days, the stock has experienced a strong uptrend with a rally of 13.63%, ranging between 258.40 and 315.99. The price currently trades above its 20-day moving average of 294.17. The 14-day RSI stands at 57.0, in neutral territory, indicating balanced momentum.
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 1.54%, reflecting typical price variability for this stock. Across the past 52 weeks, the stock has traded between 210.84 and 315.99, with the current price near the high end of that range.
Daily-return volatility of 1.54% is subdued for this stock, leaving recent ranges compressed — watch for a decisive break of the band as the more telling development. UNP is currently trading 0.46% above its 20-day moving average and sitting in the upper portion of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 57.0, currently in neutral territory.
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Aug 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.