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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
RomaniaRomania Industrial Production MoM climbed to 1.6% in August 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Romania Industrial Production MoM climbed to 1.6% in August 2026, released October 2026, up 2.9% from July's -1.3% reading. The print exceeded the 0.6% consensus by 1.0%. The print is running well above the 12-month average of -0.57%. Over the past 3 months, Industrial Production MoM averaged -1.05%, vs -0.33% in the prior 3-month window. Industrial Production MoM is now the highest in 15 months.
Latest Release
1.6
Actual
0.6
Consensus
-1.3
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.77 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Oct 2026
Predicted: -0.65
Actual: 1.6
Error: -2.25
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GBP/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.81 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| EUR/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.65 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| USD/JPY | ▼ Inverse | −0.46 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.33 | COMMODITIES | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Industrial Production MoM (Romania) was reported at 1.6% in October 2026. This beat the market consensus of 0.6% by 1%. The reading rose from the previous value of -1.3%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged -0.25%, ranging from -3.3% to 1.6% across 10 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged -0.17%, up from the prior three at -0.33%. Volatility over the past year (σ 1.66%) is higher than the prior year (σ 1.3%). In October readings over the past 3 years, Industrial Production MoM has averaged 0.23%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP). A secondary relationship exists with EUR/USD, positively correlated (Bullish EUR). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.78%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 13, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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Industrial Production MoM - RO
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About Industrial Production MoM — Romania
DEFINITION
Industrial Production MoM (Month-over-Month) is a key economic indicator that measures the change in the total output of the manufacturing, mining, and utilities sectors within a specific country or region over a one-month period. This indicator provides valuable insights into the health and growth of the industrial sector, which is a crucial component of a country's overall economic performance. It is closely monitored by investors, policymakers, and analysts as it can impact inflation, employment, and consumer spending. A positive MoM change in industrial production indicates a growing economy, while a negative change may signal a slowdown or contraction.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Manufacturing and factory-order series capture cyclical inflection earlier than aggregate output, and have outsized influence on industrial-sector equities. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Aug 2026): actual 1.6 %, consensus 0.6 %. Prior reading (Jul 2026): -1.4 %. Before that (Jun 2026): -0.7 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a materially higher reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with GBP/USD (Bullish GBP, r=0.81) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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