Hang Seng (^HSI) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis
^HSI
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View All Forecasts →Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Containment = share of graded forecast-days the 60% band held; its 95% interval counts independent windows only (n_eff, non-overlapping, stride = horizon) — per-symbol audit; static backtest copy where the audit has no n_eff yet. Magnitude only, not a directional record.
6 of 7 models in band
± 4.23% expected move
backtest — refresh paused (#568)
Actionable · size by band. The validated edge is magnitude, not direction.
Timeframes diverge — no single coherent trend.
Context, not a trade signal · forward test pending.
Descriptive — does not size the band.
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Suitability · premium context. Whether options are rich or cheap to own here — sizing input, not a price call.
^HSI's calibrated band puts the expected move at ±2.7% over 7 days, widening to ±6.5% over 28.
Sigmacast expected range · containment-audited · early record · 79.5% (83 forecast-days · n_eff=8 independent windows) · CI 45–95% · as of 7 Nov 2026 · n_eff as of 8 Nov 2026 → full record
Across 83 graded 14-day forecast-days since 11 Jun 2026 (8 independent windows), ^HSI's expected-range band contained price 79.5% of the time (95% CI 45–95%; stated rate: 80%).
As of November 8, 2026, ^HSI is trading at 24481.90. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this index generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
SETUP
The Hang Seng (^HSI) is a market index covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The ^HSI index closed at 24,479.00 on November 6, 2026, reflecting a decline of 1.26% from the previous close of 24,791.00.
WHAT'S DRIVING IT
Over the past 30 days, the index has experienced a modest downtrend with a decline of 1.16%, ranging between 22,804.00 and 24,871.29. The price currently trades above its 20-day moving average of 23,708.30. The 14-day RSI stands at 58.1, in neutral territory, indicating balanced momentum.
THE RISK
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 1.38%, reflecting typical price variability for this index. Over the past 52 weeks, ^HSI traded between 22,485.00 (Jun 26, 2026) and 27,887.24 (Jan 30, 2026); the current price sits 12.2% below the 52-week high.
WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT
Daily-return volatility of 1.38% runs elevated for this index, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. ^HSI is currently trading 3.25% above its 20-day moving average and sitting in the middle of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 58.1, currently in neutral territory.
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: Current Account (CN) (r=+0.79), Industrial Production YoY (MY) (r=+0.75)
Inversely correlated: Exports YoY (TH) (r=-0.86), Inflation Rate YoY (HK) (r=-0.86), M3 Money Supply (HK) (r=-0.84), New Car Sales YoY (TH) (r=-0.82), HSBC Composite PMI (IN) (r=-0.77), Gross Domestic Product YoY (TW) (r=-0.77)
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Nov 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.Related Pairs
Correlated Economic Indicators
Primary economy: Hong Kong economic indicators
