What is the Hang Seng forecast?

The Hang Seng (^HSI) is forecasted using our adaptive model ensemble that generates 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day predictions with confidence intervals and expected zone analysis. View the latest Hang Seng forecast on this page.

What is the Hang Seng expected price range?

The Hang Seng expected move is estimated as a symmetric range around the current level across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, derived from recent realized volatility. These are magnitude estimates, not directional predictions — see the expected-move ranges on this page.

How accurate are Hang Seng predictions?

Sigmanomics tracks all forecast accuracy transparently. View median absolute error and zone-containment metrics for Hang Seng and all other instruments on our Performance page at sigmanomics.com/performance.

How much could ^HSI move?

^HSI has an expected move of roughly ±1.6% over 7 days, ±2.5% over 14 days, ±3.8% over 28 days — symmetric ranges around the current price derived from recent realized volatility. These are magnitude estimates, not directional predictions. ^HSI's recent path efficiency (ER) is 0.20 over the trailing 14 sessions, indicating a choppy, range-bound path.

Hang Seng (^HSI) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

Primary economy: Hong Kong economic indicators

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.

Hang Seng (^HSI) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone

Forecast batch: 8/7/26

^HSI's band is still building its audit record. Sigmacast's calibrated band is sized from realized volatility and graded against every terminal close as its audit record builds. Horizon grades appear as each one's history matures — current status is below.

Market-data read

^HSI reads range-bound — no clean directional character at any horizon (ER 0.15 / 0.20 / 0.40). Recent action is directionless chop rather than a trend. Term-structure band: ±1.6% / ±2.5% / ±3.8% (7/14/28d).

short-term trend: choppy · flat7d

7 Day^prov

± 1.6%

expected move

path efficiency (ER)0.18

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

7-day window · fewer obs, noisier

60/80/95 · ±1.6/2.4/3.9%

medium-term trend: choppy · drifted up14d

14 Day^prov

± 2.5%

expected move

path efficiency (ER)0.20

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

60/80/95 · ±2.5/3.8/6.1%

long-term trend: choppy · drifted up28d

28 Day^prov

± 3.8%

expected move

path efficiency (ER)0.40

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

60/80/95 · ±3.8/5.8/9.4%

Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)

Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)

8 correlated indicators

Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.

Positively correlated: Inflation Rate YoY (r=+0.96), CPI (r=+0.83), Foreign Exchange Reserves (r=+0.83)

Inversely correlated: Inflation Rate MoM (r=-0.93), New Car Sales YoY (r=-0.92), Inflation Rate YoY (r=-0.91), Non-Oil Exports YoY (r=-0.85), Exports YoY (r=-0.85)

^HSI

indices

Current Price

August 07, 2026

Market Closed

25668.03

Actual

July 07, 2026

+6.73%

24049.50

1 Month Ago

August 07, 2025

-2.35%

26284.48

1 Year Ago

Upcoming Forecasts

View All Forecasts →

^HSI · INDICES

14-DAY FORECAST · 8/21/26

EXPECTED MOVE± 2.5%range 25033.67 – 26302.39 · 14D

Upper / lower bound26302.39 / 25033.67

Outside-range leveloutside 25033.67 – 26302.39price exits the expected band (either side)

Containment~60% (provisional)band hits its stated rate (backtest)

Term structure · expected move by horizon

Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.

Outcome legend

Magnitude · primary

How big was the move vs the forecast band?

+12.4%band-relative outcome efficiency

—efficiency not yet computed for this trade

Zone

Did price stay inside the expected band?

CONTAINEDentry price inside the expected band

BREACHED HIGHentry above the band's upper bound

BREACHED LOWentry below the band's lower bound

· · · Explore all 9 models across all timeframes on Sigmanomics · · ·

Signal Tracker Record / PerformancePast Performance →

Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.

Market-data read

SETUP

The Hang Seng (^HSI) is a market index covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The ^HSI index closed at 25,654.00 on August 7, 2026, reflecting a gain of 0.61% from the previous close of 25,499.50.

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

Over the past 30 days, the index has experienced a strong uptrend with a rally of 13.13%, ranging between 22,485.00 and 26,179.60. The price currently trades above its 20-day moving average of 25,236.90. The 14-day RSI stands at 59.2, in neutral territory, indicating balanced momentum.

THE RISK

Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 1.14%, reflecting typical price variability for this index.

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Daily-return volatility of 1.14% runs elevated for this index, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. ^HSI is currently trading 1.65% above its 20-day moving average. Its 14-day RSI reads 59.2, currently in neutral territory.

Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Aug 2026.

Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.

Primary economy: Hong Kong economic indicators

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone

Forecast batch: 8/7/26

Market-data read

short-term trend: choppy · flat7d

7 Day^prov

± 1.6%

expected move

path efficiency (ER)0.18

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

7-day window · fewer obs, noisier

60/80/95 · ±1.6/2.4/3.9%

medium-term trend: choppy · drifted up14d

14 Day^prov

± 2.5%

expected move

path efficiency (ER)0.20

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

60/80/95 · ±2.5/3.8/6.1%

long-term trend: choppy · drifted up28d

28 Day^prov

± 3.8%

expected move

path efficiency (ER)0.40

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

60/80/95 · ±3.8/5.8/9.4%

Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)

Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)

8 correlated indicators

Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.

Positively correlated: Inflation Rate YoY (r=+0.96), CPI (r=+0.83), Foreign Exchange Reserves (r=+0.83)

Inversely correlated: Inflation Rate MoM (r=-0.93), New Car Sales YoY (r=-0.92), Inflation Rate YoY (r=-0.91), Non-Oil Exports YoY (r=-0.85), Exports YoY (r=-0.85)

^HSI

indices

Current Price

August 07, 2026

Market Closed

25668.03

Actual

July 07, 2026

+6.73%

24049.50

1 Month Ago

August 07, 2025

-2.35%

26284.48

1 Year Ago

Upcoming Forecasts

View All Forecasts →

^HSI · INDICES

14-DAY FORECAST · 8/21/26

EXPECTED MOVE± 2.5%range 25033.67 – 26302.39 · 14D

Upper / lower bound26302.39 / 25033.67

Outside-range leveloutside 25033.67 – 26302.39price exits the expected band (either side)

Containment~60% (provisional)band hits its stated rate (backtest)

Term structure · expected move by horizon

Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.

Outcome legend

Magnitude · primary

How big was the move vs the forecast band?

+12.4%band-relative outcome efficiency

—efficiency not yet computed for this trade

Zone

Did price stay inside the expected band?

CONTAINEDentry price inside the expected band

BREACHED HIGHentry above the band's upper bound

BREACHED LOWentry below the band's lower bound

· · · Explore all 9 models across all timeframes on Sigmanomics · · ·

Signal Tracker Record / PerformancePast Performance →

Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.

Market-data read

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 1.14%, reflecting typical price variability for this index.

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Aug 2026.

Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.

Hang Seng (^HSI) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

Hang Seng (^HSI) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

^HSI

Current Price

Upcoming Forecasts

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Related Pairs

Correlated Economic Indicators

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

^HSI

Current Price

Upcoming Forecasts

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Related Pairs

Correlated Economic Indicators

Hang Seng (^HSI) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

Hang Seng (^HSI) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

^HSI

Current Price

Upcoming Forecasts

→ SETUP

→ WHAT'S DRIVING IT

→ THE RISK

→ WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Related Pairs

Correlated Economic Indicators

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

^HSI

Current Price

Upcoming Forecasts

→ SETUP

→ WHAT'S DRIVING IT

→ THE RISK

→ WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Related Pairs

Correlated Economic Indicators

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT