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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TaiwanTaiwan Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 12.93% in April 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased August 2026
Taiwan Gross Domestic Product YoY fell to 12.93% in April 2026, released August 2026, down 1.62% from March's 14.55% reading. The reading matched the 12.92% consensus. The print is running well above the 12-month average of 9.73%. The reading is in the 82nd percentile of the trailing 24-month range.
Latest Release
12.93
Actual
12.92
Consensus
14.55
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.14 percentage points
across last 12 releases
Last Call
Aug 2026
Predicted: 13.67
Actual: 12.93
Error: +0.73
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| USD/TWD | ▲ Direct | +0.84 | FOREX | Moves with | → View |
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.69 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| S&P 500 | ▼ Inverse | −0.68 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.65 | COMMODITIES | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.64 | CRYPTO | Moves with | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Taiwan) was reported at 12.93% in August 2026. This beat the market consensus of 12.92% by 0.01%. The reading fell from the previous value of 14.55%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through August 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 11.65%, ranging from 7.64% to 14.55% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 13.47%, up from the prior three at 11.18%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is positively correlated with USD/TWD (Bullish USD). A secondary relationship exists with Hang Seng, negatively correlated (Bearish Hang Seng). Over the last 12 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.14%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate (Sep 17).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update August 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - TW
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Taiwan
DEFINITION
Taiwan's Gross Domestic Product YoY for July came in at 12.930000%, slightly above the 12.920000% estimate but down from June's 14.550000%. The data indicates a deceleration in economic growth compared to the previous month, reflecting a cooling trend after a strong expansion phase. Market participants will watch upcoming releases closely as the central bank maintains its current monetary stance. Updated 8/14/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Apr 2026): actual 12.93 %, consensus 12.92 %. Prior reading (Apr 2026): 12.92 %. Before that (Jan 2026): 14.55 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with USD/TWD (Bullish USD, r=0.84) — a useful reference for forex-focused traders.
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