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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
TaiwanTaiwan Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 14.55% in January 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased May 2026
Taiwan Gross Domestic Product YoY climbed to 14.55% in January 2026, released May 2026, up 1.6% from December's 12.95% reading. The print exceeded the 13.69% consensus by 0.86%. Gross Domestic Product YoY has now risen for 3 consecutive months. Gross Domestic Product YoY is now the highest in 15 months.
Latest Release
14.55
Actual
13.69
Consensus
12.95
Previous
Median Absolute Error
±1.14 percentage points
across last 10 releases
Last Call
May 2026
Predicted: 13.69
Actual: 14.55
Error: -0.86
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Signal Bias | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| XAU/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.75 | COMMODITIES | Bearish XAU | → View |
| USD/TWD | ▲ Direct | +0.72 | FOREX | Bullish USD | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▲ Direct | +0.35 | CRYPTO | Bullish BTC | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
Gross Domestic Product YoY (Taiwan) was reported at 14.55% in May 2026. This beat the market consensus of 13.69% by 0.86%. The reading rose from the previous value of 12.95%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through May 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 10.24%, ranging from 7.64% to 14.55% across 7 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 13.29%, up from the prior three at 7.95%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU). A secondary relationship exists with USD/TWD, positively correlated (Bullish USD). Over the last 10 releases, the Sigmacast model's median absolute error is 1.14%.
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
Same-country events in the next 14 days include Interest Rate (Jun 18).
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update May 2026.
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Gross Domestic Product YoY - TW
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About Gross Domestic Product YoY — Taiwan
DEFINITION
Taiwan's Gross Domestic Product YoY rose to 14.550000% in April, beating the 13.690000% estimate and up from March's 12.650000%. This acceleration signals robust economic expansion compared to the prior month. Market focus now shifts to upcoming policy moves amid sustained growth momentum. Updated 5/29/26
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
Aggregate growth figures anchor cyclical positioning across asset classes and inform fiscal and monetary policy debate. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Jan 2026): actual 14.55 %, consensus 13.69 %. Prior reading (Jan 2026): 13.69 %. Before that (Oct 2025): 12.65 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a similar reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bullish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary tailwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with XAU/USD (Bearish XAU, r=-0.75) — a useful reference for commodities-focused traders.