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Data from FMP. Forecasts by Sigmanomics Forecast Engine.
ThailandThailand New Car Sales YoY fell to 14.28% in October 2026
FMPMonthlyReleased October 2026
Thailand New Car Sales YoY fell to 14.28% in October 2026, down 11.31% from September's 25.59% reading.
Latest Release
14.280000
Actual
—
Consensus
25.590000
Previous
Sigmacast Track Record
Sigmacast track record will appear here once this indicator has been released 3+ times since Sigmanomics began tracking.
Sigmacast Σ-direction model: consensus + ½ × mean(surprise, trailing 90d).
CORRELATED SYMBOLS— markets that historically move with this indicator
| Symbol | Direction | Correlation | Asset Class | Co-movement | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hang Seng | ▼ Inverse | −0.82 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| Nikkei 225 | ▼ Inverse | −0.63 | INDEX | Moves against | → View |
| USD/THB | ▼ Inverse | −0.48 | FOREX | Moves against | → View |
| BTC/USD | ▼ Inverse | −0.32 | CRYPTO | Moves against | → View |
Correlation based on 12-month rolling window. Click any symbol to view its Sigmanomics forecast page.
THE RELEASE
New Car Sales YoY (Thailand) was reported at 14.28% in October 2026. The reading fell from the previous value of 25.59%. Trailing 12-month context per ETL data through October 2026. Over the past 12 months, the indicator has averaged 20.59%, ranging from -2.17% to 53.77% across 11 releases.
WHY IT MATTERS
The trailing three releases averaged 19.98%, up from the prior three at 10.13%. Volatility over the past year (σ 15.01%) is comparable than the prior year (σ 16.51%). In October readings over the past 3 years, New Car Sales YoY has averaged 0.33%.
THE MODEL'S TAKE
Historically, this indicator is negatively correlated with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng). A secondary relationship exists with Nikkei 225, negatively correlated (Bearish Nikkei 225).
WHAT TO WATCH NEXT
The next release is scheduled for November 20, 2026.
Auto-generated from current model state · Refreshes on each release · Last update October 2026.
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New Car Sales YoY - TH
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About New Car Sales YoY — Thailand
DEFINITION
New Car Sales YoY is a financial indicator that measures the year-over-year change in the number of new cars sold by a particular company or industry. This metric is used to assess the overall health and growth of the automotive market, as well as the performance of individual companies within the industry. A positive YoY change indicates an increase in new car sales, while a negative change suggests a decline. This indicator is closely monitored by investors, analysts, and policymakers as it provides valuable insights into consumer spending and economic trends.
WHY THIS INDICATOR MATTERS
This release contributes to the broader macro picture used by cross-asset investors for positioning and risk management. The release is more useful as part of a longer-run signal than as a single-print catalyst. Released monthly.
WHAT CHANGED THIS MONTH
Latest reading (Sep 2026): actual 14.28 %. Prior reading (Aug 2026): 25.59 %. Before that (Aug 2026): 25.59 %.
WHAT'S NEXT
Sigmacast's 1-month forecast points to a lower reading versus the latest print, with the 3-month outlook reinforcing that direction. Both horizons are aligned bearish for this indicator, suggesting a consistent trend signal. Trend-driven dynamics are the primary headwind in the current projection. This indicator correlates most strongly with Hang Seng (Bearish Hang Seng, r=-0.82) — a useful reference for index-focused traders.
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EXPECTED ZONE
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Economic Calendar - TH Events
| Monday, November 2, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 00:30 | TH | S&P Global Manufacturing PMI | 54.3 | 54.5 | 55.35 | Low | |
| Tuesday, November 3, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 08:00 | TH | Business Confidence | 48.1 | 48.8 | 48.65 | Low | |
| Thursday, November 5, 2026 | Actual | Previous | Consensus | Sigmanomics Rolling-Surprise Forecast | Impact | ||
| 03:30 | TH | Core Inflation Rate YoY | 1.5 | 1.6 | 1.04 | Low | |
| 03:30 | TH | Inflation Rate YoY | 2.82 | 2.9 | 2.60 | Low | |