What is the NIFTY 50 forecast?

The NIFTY 50 (^NSEI) is forecasted using our adaptive model ensemble that generates 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day predictions with confidence intervals and expected zone analysis. View the latest NIFTY 50 forecast on this page.

What is the NIFTY 50 expected price range?

The NIFTY 50 expected move is estimated as a symmetric range around the current level across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, derived from recent realized volatility. These are magnitude estimates, not directional predictions — see the expected-move ranges on this page.

How accurate are NIFTY 50 predictions?

Sigmanomics tracks all forecast accuracy transparently. View median absolute error and zone-containment metrics for NIFTY 50 and all other instruments on our Performance page at sigmanomics.com/performance.

How much could ^NSEI move?

^NSEI has an expected move of roughly ±0.6% over 7 days, ±1.0% over 14 days, ±1.5% over 28 days — symmetric ranges around the current price derived from recent realized volatility. These are magnitude estimates, not directional predictions. ^NSEI's recent path efficiency (ER) is 0.67 over the trailing 14 sessions, indicating a efficient, trending path.

NIFTY 50 (^NSEI) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

Primary economy: India economic indicators

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.

NIFTY 50 (^NSEI) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone

^NSEI's band carries a graded record, but its options premium is not being graded right now. Sigmacast's calibrated band is sized from realized volatility and graded against every terminal close, with its containment rate audited at each horizon over the trailing 30 days. Horizon grades return when the premium ladder is gradeable again — current status is below.

short-term trend: trending down7d

7 Day

no forecast

path efficiency (ER)0.93

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

7-day window · fewer obs, noisier

medium-term trend: trending down14d

14 Day

no forecast

path efficiency (ER)0.67

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

long-term trend: trending down28d

28 Day

no forecast

path efficiency (ER)0.60

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)

Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)

8 correlated indicators

Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.

Positively correlated: Passenger Vehicles Sales YoY (r=+0.74), Inflation Rate MoM (r=+0.70), WPI Fuel YoY (r=+0.68), WPI Inflation YoY (r=+0.54), Unemployment Rate (r=+0.44), WPI Manufacturing YoY (r=+0.44)

Inversely correlated: CPI (r=-0.79), HSBC Composite PMI (r=-0.67)

^NSEI

indices

Current Price

September 11, 2026

Market Closed

23286.30

Actual

August 11, 2026

-4.76%

24450.25

1 Month Ago

September 11, 2025

-10.06%

25891.20

1 Year Ago

Upcoming Forecasts

View All Forecasts →

^NSEI · INDICES

14-DAY FORECAST · 9/25/26

Forecast data unavailable for this horizon.

Outcome legend

Magnitude · primary

How big was the move vs the forecast band?

+12.4%band-relative outcome efficiency

—efficiency not yet computed for this trade

Zone

Did price stay inside the expected band?

CONTAINEDentry price inside the expected band

BREACHED HIGHentry above the band's upper bound

BREACHED LOWentry below the band's lower bound

· · · Explore all 9 models across all timeframes on Sigmanomics · · ·

Signal Tracker Record / PerformancePast Performance →

Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.

SETUP

The NIFTY 50 (^NSEI) is a market index covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The ^NSEI index closed at 23,256.45 on September 11, 2026, reflecting a decline of 0.57% from the previous close of 23,389.25.

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

Over the past 30 days, the index has experienced a strong downtrend with a decline of 5.36%, ranging between 23,233.85 and 24,673.75. The price currently trades below its 20-day moving average of 23,953.48. The 14-day RSI stands at 22.7, in oversold territory.

THE RISK

Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 0.35%, reflecting subdued price variability for this index. Across the past 52 weeks, the index has traded between 22,182.55 and 26,373.20, with the current price near the midrange of that range.

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Daily-return volatility of 0.35% is subdued for this index, leaving recent ranges compressed — watch for a decisive break of the band as the more telling development. ^NSEI is currently trading 2.91% below its 20-day moving average and sitting in the middle of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 22.7, currently in oversold territory.

Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Sep 2026.

Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.

Primary economy: India economic indicators

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone

short-term trend: trending down7d

7 Day

no forecast

path efficiency (ER)0.93

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

7-day window · fewer obs, noisier

medium-term trend: trending down14d

14 Day

no forecast

path efficiency (ER)0.67

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

long-term trend: trending down28d

28 Day

no forecast

path efficiency (ER)0.60

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)

Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)

8 correlated indicators

Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.

Inversely correlated: CPI (r=-0.79), HSBC Composite PMI (r=-0.67)

^NSEI

indices

Current Price

September 11, 2026

Market Closed

23286.30

Actual

August 11, 2026

-4.76%

24450.25

1 Month Ago

September 11, 2025

-10.06%

25891.20

1 Year Ago

Upcoming Forecasts

View All Forecasts →

^NSEI · INDICES

14-DAY FORECAST · 9/25/26

Forecast data unavailable for this horizon.

Outcome legend

Magnitude · primary

How big was the move vs the forecast band?

+12.4%band-relative outcome efficiency

—efficiency not yet computed for this trade

Zone

Did price stay inside the expected band?

CONTAINEDentry price inside the expected band

BREACHED HIGHentry above the band's upper bound

BREACHED LOWentry below the band's lower bound

· · · Explore all 9 models across all timeframes on Sigmanomics · · ·

Signal Tracker Record / PerformancePast Performance →

Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Sep 2026.

Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.

NIFTY 50 (^NSEI) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

NIFTY 50 (^NSEI) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

^NSEI

Current Price

Upcoming Forecasts

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Related Pairs

Correlated Economic Indicators

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

^NSEI

Current Price

Upcoming Forecasts

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Related Pairs

Correlated Economic Indicators

NIFTY 50 (^NSEI) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

NIFTY 50 (^NSEI) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

^NSEI

Current Price

Upcoming Forecasts

→ SETUP

→ WHAT'S DRIVING IT

→ THE RISK

→ WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Related Pairs

Correlated Economic Indicators

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

^NSEI

Current Price

Upcoming Forecasts

→ SETUP

→ WHAT'S DRIVING IT

→ THE RISK

→ WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Related Pairs

Correlated Economic Indicators

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT