What is the NIFTY 50 forecast?

The NIFTY 50 (^NSEI) is forecasted using our adaptive model ensemble that generates 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day predictions with confidence intervals and expected zone analysis. View the latest NIFTY 50 forecast on this page.

What is the NIFTY 50 expected price range?

The NIFTY 50 expected move is estimated as a symmetric range around the current level across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, derived from recent realized volatility. These are magnitude estimates, not directional predictions — see the expected-move ranges on this page.

How accurate are NIFTY 50 predictions?

Sigmanomics tracks all forecast accuracy transparently. View median absolute error and zone-containment metrics for NIFTY 50 and all other instruments on our Performance page at sigmanomics.com/performance.

How much could ^NSEI move?

^NSEI has an expected move of roughly ±0.9% over 7 days, ±1.4% over 14 days, ±2.1% over 28 days — symmetric ranges around the current price derived from recent realized volatility. These are magnitude estimates, not directional predictions. ^NSEI's recent path efficiency (ER) is 0.22 over the trailing 14 sessions, indicating a choppy, range-bound path.

NIFTY 50 (^NSEI) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

Primary economy: India economic indicators

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.

NIFTY 50 (^NSEI) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone

^NSEI's band is still building its audit record. Sigmacast's calibrated band is sized from realized volatility and graded against every terminal close as its audit record builds. Horizon grades appear as each one's history matures — current status is below.

Market-data read

^NSEI reads range-bound — no clean directional character at any horizon (ER 0.67 / 0.22 / 0.19). Recent action is directionless chop rather than a trend. Term-structure band: ±0.9% / ±1.4% / ±2.1% (7/14/28d).

short-term trend: trending up7d

7 Day

no forecast

path efficiency (ER)0.67

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

7-day window · fewer obs, noisier

medium-term trend: choppy · drifted up14d

14 Day

no forecast

path efficiency (ER)0.22

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

long-term trend: choppy · drifted up28d

28 Day

no forecast

path efficiency (ER)0.19

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)

Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)

8 correlated indicators

Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.

Positively correlated: Passenger Vehicles Sales YoY (r=+0.73), Inflation Rate MoM (r=+0.69), WPI Fuel YoY (r=+0.62), WPI Manufacturing YoY (r=+0.59), WPI Inflation YoY (r=+0.50)

Inversely correlated: CPI (r=-0.79), WPI Food YoY (r=-0.50), HSBC Composite PMI (r=-0.43)

^NSEI

indices

Current Price

August 07, 2026

Market Closed

24570.65

Actual

July 07, 2026

+0.90%

24351.40

1 Month Ago

August 07, 2025

-5.10%

25891.20

1 Year Ago

Upcoming Forecasts

View All Forecasts →

^NSEI · INDICES

14-DAY FORECAST · 8/21/26

Forecast data unavailable for this horizon.

Outcome legend

Magnitude · primary

How big was the move vs the forecast band?

+12.4%band-relative outcome efficiency

—efficiency not yet computed for this trade

Zone

Did price stay inside the expected band?

CONTAINEDentry price inside the expected band

BREACHED HIGHentry above the band's upper bound

BREACHED LOWentry below the band's lower bound

· · · Explore all 9 models across all timeframes on Sigmanomics · · ·

Signal Tracker Record / PerformancePast Performance →

Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.

Market-data read

SETUP

The NIFTY 50 (^NSEI) is a market index covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The ^NSEI index closed at 24,557.00 on August 7, 2026, reflecting a decline of 0.32% from the previous close of 24,636.00.

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

Over the past 30 days, the index has experienced a modest uptrend with a rally of 2.38%, ranging between 23,606.30 and 24,673.75. The price currently trades above its 20-day moving average of 24,237.08. The 14-day RSI stands at 61.4, in the upper part of its range.

THE RISK

Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 0.64%, reflecting subdued price variability for this index.

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Daily-return volatility of 0.64% is subdued for this index, leaving recent ranges compressed — watch for a decisive break of the band as the more telling development. ^NSEI is currently trading 1.32% above its 20-day moving average. Its 14-day RSI reads 61.4, currently in neutral territory.

Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Aug 2026.

Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.

Primary economy: India economic indicators

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone

Market-data read

short-term trend: trending up7d

7 Day

no forecast

path efficiency (ER)0.67

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

7-day window · fewer obs, noisier

medium-term trend: choppy · drifted up14d

14 Day

no forecast

path efficiency (ER)0.22

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

long-term trend: choppy · drifted up28d

28 Day

no forecast

path efficiency (ER)0.19

0 choppy/rangetrend 1.0

Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)

Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)

8 correlated indicators

Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.

Positively correlated: Passenger Vehicles Sales YoY (r=+0.73), Inflation Rate MoM (r=+0.69), WPI Fuel YoY (r=+0.62), WPI Manufacturing YoY (r=+0.59), WPI Inflation YoY (r=+0.50)

Inversely correlated: CPI (r=-0.79), WPI Food YoY (r=-0.50), HSBC Composite PMI (r=-0.43)

^NSEI

indices

Current Price

August 07, 2026

Market Closed

24570.65

Actual

July 07, 2026

+0.90%

24351.40

1 Month Ago

August 07, 2025

-5.10%

25891.20

1 Year Ago

Upcoming Forecasts

View All Forecasts →

^NSEI · INDICES

14-DAY FORECAST · 8/21/26

Forecast data unavailable for this horizon.

Outcome legend

Magnitude · primary

How big was the move vs the forecast band?

+12.4%band-relative outcome efficiency

—efficiency not yet computed for this trade

Zone

Did price stay inside the expected band?

CONTAINEDentry price inside the expected band

BREACHED HIGHentry above the band's upper bound

BREACHED LOWentry below the band's lower bound

· · · Explore all 9 models across all timeframes on Sigmanomics · · ·

Signal Tracker Record / PerformancePast Performance →

Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.

Market-data read

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 0.64%, reflecting subdued price variability for this index.

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Aug 2026.

Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.

NIFTY 50 (^NSEI) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

NIFTY 50 (^NSEI) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

^NSEI

Current Price

Upcoming Forecasts

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Related Pairs

Correlated Economic Indicators

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

^NSEI

Current Price

Upcoming Forecasts

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Related Pairs

Correlated Economic Indicators

NIFTY 50 (^NSEI) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

NIFTY 50 (^NSEI) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

^NSEI

Current Price

Upcoming Forecasts

→ SETUP

→ WHAT'S DRIVING IT

→ THE RISK

→ WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Related Pairs

Correlated Economic Indicators

Sam Bourgi, Analyst

^NSEI

Current Price

Upcoming Forecasts

→ SETUP

→ WHAT'S DRIVING IT

→ THE RISK

→ WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Related Pairs

Correlated Economic Indicators

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

SETUP

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

THE RISK

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT