CAC 40 (^FCHI) Index Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis
^FCHI
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View All Forecasts →Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Containment = share of graded forecast-days the 60% band held; its 95% interval counts independent windows only (n_eff, non-overlapping, stride = horizon) — per-symbol audit; static backtest copy where the audit has no n_eff yet. Magnitude only, not a directional record.
6 of 7 models in band
± 2.29% expected move
backtest — refresh paused (#568)
Actionable · size by band. The validated edge is magnitude, not direction.
Coherent near-term trend; possible regime shift if 1W turns.
Context, not a trade signal · forward test pending.
Descriptive — does not size the band.
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Suitability · premium context. Whether options are rich or cheap to own here — sizing input, not a price call.
^FCHI's calibrated band puts the expected move at ±1.5% over 7 days, widening to ±3.5% over 28.
Sigmacast expected range · containment-audited · early record · 69.9% (83 forecast-days · n_eff=8 independent windows) · CI 37–90% · as of 7 Nov 2026 · n_eff as of 8 Nov 2026 → full record
Across 83 graded 14-day forecast-days since 11 Jun 2026 (8 independent windows), ^FCHI's expected-range band contained price 69.9% of the time (95% CI 37–90%; stated rate: 80%).
As of November 8, 2026, ^FCHI is trading at 8139.00. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this index generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
SETUP
The CAC 40 (^FCHI) is a market index covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The ^FCHI index closed at 8,140.01 on November 6, 2026, reflecting a decline of 0.73% from the previous close of 8,200.23.
WHAT'S DRIVING IT
Over the past 30 days, the index has experienced a modest uptrend with a rally of 0.65%, ranging between 7,679.36 and 8,286.43. The price currently trades above its 20-day moving average of 7,939.63. The 14-day RSI stands at 60.1, in the upper part of its range.
THE RISK
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 0.86%, reflecting subdued price variability for this index. Over the past 52 weeks, ^FCHI traded between 7,505.27 (Mar 23, 2026) and 8,755.03 (Aug 7, 2026); the current price sits 7.0% below the 52-week high.
WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT
Daily-return volatility of 0.86% runs elevated for this index, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. ^FCHI is currently trading 2.52% above its 20-day moving average and sitting in the middle of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 60.1, currently in neutral territory.
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: New Car Registrations YoY (FR) (r=+0.83), GDP Growth Rate QoQ (FR) (r=+0.67), CPI YoY (FR) (r=+0.59), Foreign Exchange Reserves (FR) (r=+0.52), 14-Year Index-Linked OAT Auction (FR) (r=+0.50)
Inversely correlated: Budget balance (FR) (r=-0.82), CPI (FR) (r=-0.65), Gross Domestic Product YoY (FR) (r=-0.57)
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Nov 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.Related Pairs
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