ARE Stock Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

ARE

stocks
/

Current Price

November 05, 2026
Market Closed
45.19
Actual
October 05, 2026
-2.14%
46.18
1 Month Ago
November 05, 2025
-17.04%
54.47
1 Year Ago
52W HIGH
59.76
· Jan 23, 2026
52W LOW
38.34
· Oct 28, 2026
Highest close in our data
223.63
· Dec 2021coverage since 2019

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ARE · STOCKS
14-DAY FORECAST · 11/19/26
EXPECTED MOVE± 8.8%range 41.23 – 49.15 · 14D
23.7934.4945.1955.8966.5995%57.2280%51.6660%49.15invalidation level60%41.23invalidation level80%38.7295%33.16current 45.19−28dtoday+7d+14d+28d

Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)

Upper / lower bound49.15 / 41.23
Outside-range leveloutside 41.23 – 49.15price exits the expected band (either side)
Containmentearly record · 44.4% (81 forecast-days · n_eff=8 independent windows) · CI 18–75%60% band · as of 4 Nov 2026 · n_eff as of 1 Nov 2026 · 80% band: early record · 75.3% (81 forecast-days · n_eff=8 independent windows) · CI 41–93%
Term structure · expected move by horizon

Containment = share of graded forecast-days the 60% band held; its 95% interval counts independent windows only (n_eff, non-overlapping, stride = horizon) — per-symbol audit; static backtest copy where the audit has no n_eff yet. Magnitude only, not a directional record.

Outcome legend
Magnitude · primary
How big was the move vs the forecast band?
+12.4%band-relative outcome efficiency
—efficiency not yet computed for this trade
Zone
Did price stay inside the expected band?
CONTAINEDentry price inside the expected band
BREACHED HIGHentry above the band's upper bound
BREACHED LOWentry below the band's lower bound
Magnitude· primary
MODERATEconviction

5 of 7 models in band

± 8.76% expected move

backtest — refresh paused (#568)

Actionable · size by band. The validated edge is magnitude, not direction.

Alignment· context only
2H up1D down1W down

Timeframes diverge — no single coherent trend.

Context, not a trade signal · forward test pending.

Descriptive — does not size the band.

Regime Read· options premium

loading premium read…

Suitability · premium context. Whether options are rich or cheap to own here — sizing input, not a price call.

Expected Range· 7–28d calibrated zone
Forecast batch: 11/5/26
Premium not graded

ARE's calibrated band puts the expected move at ±5.7% over 7 days, widening to ±13.4% over 28.

Premium grade: 2026-11-05 05:01 UTC

Sigmacast expected range · containment-audited · early record · 75.3% (81 forecast-days · n_eff=8 independent windows) · CI 41–93% · as of 4 Nov 2026 · n_eff as of 1 Nov 2026 → full record

Across 81 graded 14-day forecast-days since 11 Jun 2026 (8 independent windows), ARE's expected-range band contained price 75.3% of the time (95% CI 41–93%; stated rate: 80%).

As of November 5, 2026, ARE is trading at 45.19. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this stock generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.

Signal Tracker Record / PerformancePast Performance →

Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.

SHARE

SETUP

Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. (ARE) is a publicly traded stock covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The ARE stock closed at 45.1900 on November 5, 2026, reflecting a decline of 1.80% from the previous close of 46.0200. ARE is listed on the BMV in Mexico.

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

Over the past 30 days, the stock has experienced a strong downtrend with a decline of 9.48%, ranging between 38.3400 and 50.6600. The price currently trades above its 20-day moving average of 42.5862. The 14-day RSI stands at 53.5, in neutral territory, indicating balanced momentum.

THE RISK

Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 3.03%, reflecting heightened price variability for this stock. Over the past 52 weeks, ARE traded between 38.3400 (Oct 28, 2026) and 59.7600 (Jan 23, 2026); the current price sits 24.4% below the 52-week high.

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Daily-return volatility of 3.03% runs elevated for this stock, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. ARE is currently trading 6.11% above its 20-day moving average and sitting in the middle of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 53.5, currently in neutral territory.

Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)

8 correlated indicators

Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.

Positively correlated: Total Vehicle Sales (US) (r=+0.83), ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders (US) (r=+0.75), Crude Oil Production (Monthly) (US) (r=+0.75), BoE Consumer Credit (US) (r=+0.72)

Inversely correlated: Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index (US) (r=-0.81), PPI Final Demand Ex Food Energy Trade (US) (r=-0.76), Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air (US) (r=-0.75), Producer Price Index MoM (US) (r=-0.71)

Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Nov 2026.

Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.