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Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.
Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone
Forecast batch: 9/14/26
Premium grade: 2026-09-15 05:01 UTC
CF's calibrated band puts the expected move at ±3.5% over 7 days, widening to ±8.2% over 28. Options are currently pricing in line with the band (VRP ≈ 1.30×) — premium screens fair on this scale. That grade is the same at all three horizons — each one's band is below.
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: Total Vehicle Sales (r=+0.88), All Car Sales (r=+0.75), Labor Force Participation Rate (r=+0.73), Information Payrolls (r=+0.72), BoE Consumer Credit (r=+0.72)
Inversely correlated: Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air (r=-0.89), Producer Price Index (r=-0.74), PCE Price Index MoM (r=-0.73)
As of September 15, 2026, CF is trading at 131.20. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this stock generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
CF Industries Holdings, Inc. (CF) is a publicly traded stock covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The CF stock closed at 131.20 on September 14, 2026, reflecting a decline of 1.38% from the previous close of 133.04. CF is listed on the NYSE in United States.
Over the past 30 days, the stock has experienced a strong uptrend with a rally of 10.92%, ranging between 109.43 and 141.66. The price currently trades above its 20-day moving average of 129.67. The 14-day RSI stands at 53.9, in neutral territory, indicating balanced momentum.
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 2.46%, reflecting typical price variability for this stock. Across the past 52 weeks, the stock has traded between 75.4150 and 141.96, with the current price near the high end of that range.
Daily-return volatility of 2.46% runs elevated for this stock, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. CF is currently trading 1.18% above its 20-day moving average and sitting in the upper portion of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 53.9, currently in neutral territory.
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Sep 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.