EVRG Stock Forecast — Price Prediction & Analysis

EVRG

stocks
/

Current Price

November 05, 2026
Market Closed
86.21
Actual
October 05, 2026
+8.74%
79.28
1 Month Ago
November 05, 2025
+12.59%
76.57
1 Year Ago
52W HIGH
88.61
· Jul 7, 2026
52W LOW
71.41
· Jan 5, 2026
Highest close in our data
88.13
· Jul 2026coverage since 2019

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EVRG · STOCKS
14-DAY FORECAST · 11/19/26

Earnings (Nov 5) inside all horizons — premium not comparable to band.

EXPECTED MOVE± 2.9%range 83.72 – 88.70 · 14D
72.7579.4886.2192.9499.6795%93.7880%90.2860%88.70invalidation level60%83.72invalidation level80%82.1495%78.64current 86.21−28dtoday+7d+14d+28d+0d · Earnings · EPS est 2.33

Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)

Upper / lower bound88.70 / 83.72
Outside-range leveloutside 83.72 – 88.70price exits the expected band (either side)
Containmentearly record · 44.4% (81 forecast-days · n_eff=8 independent windows) · CI 18–75%60% band · as of 4 Nov 2026 · n_eff as of 1 Nov 2026 · 80% band: early record · 67.9% (81 forecast-days · n_eff=8 independent windows) · CI 35–89%
Term structure · expected move by horizon

Containment = share of graded forecast-days the 60% band held; its 95% interval counts independent windows only (n_eff, non-overlapping, stride = horizon) — per-symbol audit; static backtest copy where the audit has no n_eff yet. Magnitude only, not a directional record.

Outcome legend
Magnitude · primary
How big was the move vs the forecast band?
+12.4%band-relative outcome efficiency
—efficiency not yet computed for this trade
Zone
Did price stay inside the expected band?
CONTAINEDentry price inside the expected band
BREACHED HIGHentry above the band's upper bound
BREACHED LOWentry below the band's lower bound
Magnitude· primary
HIGHconviction

6 of 7 models in band

± 2.89% expected move

backtest — refresh paused (#568)

Actionable · size by band. The validated edge is magnitude, not direction.

Alignment· context only
2H up1D up1W down

Coherent near-term trend; possible regime shift if 1W turns.

Context, not a trade signal · forward test pending.

Descriptive — does not size the band.

Regime Read· options premium

loading premium read…

Suitability · premium context. Whether options are rich or cheap to own here — sizing input, not a price call.

Expected Range· 7–28d calibrated zone
Forecast batch: 11/4/26
Premium not graded

EVRG's calibrated band puts the expected move at ±1.9% over 7 days, widening to ±4.4% over 28.

Premium grade: 2026-11-04 05:03 UTC

Sigmacast expected range · containment-audited · early record · 67.9% (81 forecast-days · n_eff=8 independent windows) · CI 35–89% · as of 4 Nov 2026 · n_eff as of 1 Nov 2026 → full record

Across 81 graded 14-day forecast-days since 11 Jun 2026 (8 independent windows), EVRG's expected-range band contained price 67.9% of the time (95% CI 35–89%; stated rate: 80%).

As of November 5, 2026, EVRG is trading at 86.21. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this stock generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.

Signal Tracker Record / PerformancePast Performance →

Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.

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SETUP

Evergy Inc. (EVRG) is a publicly traded stock covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The EVRG stock closed at 86.2100 on November 4, 2026, reflecting a gain of 0.89% from the previous close of 85.4500. EVRG is listed on the IEX.

WHAT'S DRIVING IT

Over the past 30 days, the stock has experienced a strong uptrend with a rally of 11.03%, ranging between 77.1100 and 86.7300. The price currently trades above its 20-day moving average of 83.6703. The 14-day RSI stands at 64.2, in the upper part of its range.

THE RISK

Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 0.96%, reflecting subdued price variability for this stock. Over the past 52 weeks, EVRG traded between 71.4050 (Jan 5, 2026) and 88.6100 (Jul 7, 2026); the current price sits 2.7% below the 52-week high.

WHAT WE'RE WATCHING NEXT

Daily-return volatility of 0.96% is subdued for this stock, leaving recent ranges compressed — watch for a decisive break of the band as the more telling development. EVRG is currently trading 3.04% above its 20-day moving average and sitting in the upper portion of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 64.2, currently in neutral territory.

Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)

8 correlated indicators

Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.

Positively correlated: Total Vehicle Sales (US) (r=+0.83), ISM Non-Manufacturing New Orders (US) (r=+0.75), Crude Oil Production (Monthly) (US) (r=+0.75), BoE Consumer Credit (US) (r=+0.72)

Inversely correlated: Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index (US) (r=-0.81), PPI Final Demand Ex Food Energy Trade (US) (r=-0.76), Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air (US) (r=-0.75), Producer Price Index MoM (US) (r=-0.71)

Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Nov 2026.

Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.