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Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.
Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone
Forecast batch: 10/16/26
Premium grade: 2026-10-16 05:03 UTC
ULTA's calibrated band puts the expected move at ±2.5% over 7 days, widening to ±6.0% over 28. Options are currently pricing all three horizons in line with the band (VRP ≈ 1.46×) — premium screens fair on this scale. That grade is the same at all three horizons — each one's band is below.
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: Total Vehicle Sales (r=+0.83), Crude Oil Production (Monthly) (r=+0.73), BoE Consumer Credit (r=+0.72)
Inversely correlated: Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air (r=-0.85), 5-Year Note Auction (r=-0.83), Richmond Fed Services Revenues Index (r=-0.81), Producer Price Index (r=-0.74), PPI Ex Food, Energy and Trade YoY (r=-0.68)
As of October 17, 2026, ULTA is trading at 592.93. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this stock generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
Ultra Brands Ltd. (ULTA) is a publicly traded stock covered by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The ULTA stock closed at 592.93 on October 16, 2026, reflecting a decline of 2.69% from the previous close of 609.31. ULTA is listed on the CSE in Canada.
Over the past 30 days, the stock has experienced a strong uptrend with a rally of 5.10%, ranging between 529.01 and 614.63. The price currently trades above its 20-day moving average of 559.34. The 14-day RSI stands at 64.7, in the upper part of its range.
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 1.71%, reflecting typical price variability for this stock. Across the past 52 weeks, the stock has traded between 443.60 and 714.97, with the current price near the midrange of that range.
Daily-return volatility of 1.71% runs elevated for this stock, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. ULTA is currently trading 6.00% above its 20-day moving average and sitting in the middle of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 64.7, currently in neutral territory.
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Oct 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.