Loading page content
Sam Bourgi is an analyst, writer and financial market commentator featured in and cited by U.S. Congress, Department of Justice, Chicago Board Options Exchange, Barron's and Forbes. He covers stocks, bonds, mutual funds, ETFs, forex, Bitcoin, cryptocurrency, real estate and macroeconomics. He has written over 25,000 articles and over 40 whitepapers and e-books.
Sigmacast expected range · 7–28-day calibrated zone
Forecast batch: 8/8/26
XB1's band is still building its audit record. Sigmacast's calibrated band is sized from realized volatility and graded against every terminal close as its audit record builds. Horizon grades appear as each one's history matures — current status is below.
Market-data read
XB1 reads range-bound — no clean directional character at any horizon (ER 0.27 / 0.50 / 0.00). Recent action is directionless chop rather than a trend. Term-structure band: ±5.0% / ±6.2% / ±7.7% (7/14/28d).
Nested 60 / 80 / 95 calibrated expected-range · centered on current price (gold tick)
Macro correlations · context (not confirmation)
8 correlated indicators
Observed historical correlations, not forward signals.
Positively correlated: Total Vehicle Sales (r=+0.89), All Car Sales (r=+0.74), Advance Retail Sales (r=+0.73), BoE Consumer Credit (r=+0.70)
Inversely correlated: Non Defense Goods Orders Ex Air (r=-0.92), PCE Price Index MoM (r=-0.86), Financial Activities Payrolls (r=-0.75), CPI Food at Home (r=-0.68)
As of August 9, 2026, XB1 is trading at 2.99. Our multi-model Sigmanomics forecast for this commodity generates expected price ranges (magnitude, not direction) across 7-day, 14-day, and 28-day horizons, each with a recent-path character readout. Based on ensemble models including SIGMACAST, Σ-Adaptive, and Σ-Trend with model-agreement confidence bands. Updated daily.
Containment = how often the band held (backtest) — magnitude only, not a directional record.
Forecasts generated by Sigmanomics engine. Not financial advice.
Market-data read
Gasoline Futures (XB1) is a commodity instrument tracked by the Sigmanomics analytics platform. The XB1 commodity closed at 2.9864 on August 9, 2026, reflecting a gain of 0.04% from the previous close of 2.9852.
Over the past 30 days, the commodity has experienced a sideways movement with a rally of 0.08%, ranging between 2.7895 and 3.5328. The price currently trades below its 20-day moving average of 3.1839. The 14-day RSI stands at 40.7, in neutral territory, indicating balanced momentum.
Over the same 30-day window, daily-return volatility was 2.40%, reflecting typical price variability for this commodity. Across the past 52 weeks, the commodity has traded between 1.6753 and 3.7765, with the current price near the midrange of that range.
Daily-return volatility of 2.40% runs elevated for this commodity, so price ranges are likely to stay wide — watch how price behaves around its recent range rather than treating any single level as fixed. XB1 is currently trading 6.20% below its 20-day moving average and sitting in the middle of its 52-week range. Its 14-day RSI reads 40.7, currently in neutral territory.
Auto-generated from Sigmanomics market data. Last update Aug 2026.
Sigmacast forecasts span six horizons — 30-minute, 1-hour, 2-hour, 4-hour, 12-hour, and daily — refreshed continuously as new bars arrive.